Where and when is Warta Gorzów vs Goczałkowice Zdrój played?

Warta Gorzów vs Goczałkowice Zdrój is played on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, in the III Liga - Group 3.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Warta Gorzów vs Goczałkowice Zdrój: prediction and stats

III Liga - Group 3Group III - 26Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, Gorzów Wielkopolski

Warta Gorzów

Goczałkowice Zdrój

The Footlab model makes Warta Gorzów the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Goczałkowice Zdrój. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Warta Gorzów vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?

A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Warta Gorzów (1,764) and Goczałkowice Zdrój (1,737).

Warta Gorzów win52 %

Draw25 %

Goczałkowice Zdrój win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Warta Gorzów have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Goczałkowice Zdrój have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Warta Gorzów
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Odra Bytom Odrzański(away)	1-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Górnik Polkowice(home)	0-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026	Barycz Sułów(away)	2-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 8, 2026	Carina Gubin(home)	2-1	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 1, 2026	ROW Rybnik(away)	1-5	III Liga - Group 3

Goczałkowice Zdrój
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Polonia Nysa(home)	2-0	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 19, 2026	Sparta Katowice(away)	1-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 15, 2026	Ślęza Wrocław(home)	0-2	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 9, 2026	Zaglebie Sosnowiec(away)	0-2	III Liga - Group 3
Jul 31, 2026	Stal Brzeg(away)	1-1	III Liga - Group 3

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Warta Gorzów win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Goczałkowice Zdrój win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 25, 2026	Warta Gorzów 1-2 Goczałkowice Zdrój	III Liga - Group 3
Oct 4, 2025	Goczałkowice Zdrój 2-1 Warta Gorzów	III Liga - Group 3
Apr 18, 2025	Warta Gorzów 0-2 Goczałkowice Zdrój	III Liga - Group 3
Sep 21, 2024	Goczałkowice Zdrój 2-0 Warta Gorzów	III Liga - Group 3
Mar 2, 2024	Goczałkowice Zdrój 3-2 Warta Gorzów	III Liga - Group 3
Aug 12, 2023	Warta Gorzów 3-2 Goczałkowice Zdrój	III Liga - Group 3

Last archived meeting: Warta Gorzów vs Goczałkowice Zdrój on Apr 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Warta Gorzów score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Goczałkowice Zdrój score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Warta Gorzów	0.9	1.4	6	7/15	7/15
Goczałkowice Zdrój	0.9	1.5	4	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Warta Gorzów sit 10th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and Goczałkowice Zdrój sit 14th (4 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Warta Gorzów	5	2	2	1	6	8	8
14	Goczałkowice Zdrój	5	1	1	3	4	7	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Warta Gorzów vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?: The Footlab model makes Warta Gorzów the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Goczałkowice Zdrój.
Where and when is Warta Gorzów vs Goczałkowice Zdrój played?: Warta Gorzów vs Goczałkowice Zdrój is played on April 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion OSiR ul. Olimpijska, in the III Liga - Group 3.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.