Zimbabwe vs Ethiopia: prediction and stats
CECAFA Senior Challenge CupGroup Stage - 6Kick-off on November 30, 2015 at 10:30 AM (UTC)Francistown Stadium, Francistown
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 12 matches in all competitions, Zimbabwe have 5 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeats; Ethiopia have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2015 | Lesotho(away) | 1-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Oct 18, 2015 | Lesotho(home) | 3-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Feb 1, 2014 | Nigeria(home) | 0-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 29, 2014 | Libya(home) | 0-0 | African Nations Championship |
| Jan 25, 2014 | Mali(away) | 2-1 | African Nations Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2015 | Tanzania(away) | 1-1 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Nov 25, 2015 | Somalia(away) | 2-0 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Nov 21, 2015 | Rwanda(home) | 0-1 | CECAFA Senior Challenge Cup |
| Nov 17, 2015 | Congo(away) | 1-2 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
| Nov 14, 2015 | Congo(home) | 3-4 | World Cup - Qualification Africa |
How many goals should we expect?
Zimbabwe score 1.0 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 12; Ethiopia score 1.2 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zimbabwe | 1.0 | 0.4 | 7 | 4/12 | 3/12 |
| Ethiopia | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 12 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy