1º de Maio vs Salgueiro: prediction and stats
Pernambucano - 1Regular Season - 1Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes 1º de Maio the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Salgueiro. The most likely score is 1-1. If 1º de Maio wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1º de Maio vs Salgueiro?
On Elo ratings, 1º de Maio has 1,431 points and Salgueiro 1,539.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for 1º de Maio vs Salgueiro
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
1º de Maio
Not enough data to predict the 1º de Maio lineup.
Salgueiro
4-3-3- GGabriel
- OOdilávio
- RRobinho
- PPedro Talisca
- HHebert
- PPalominha
- GGaspar
- LLeonardo
- WWesley
- DDenilton
- ÉÉverton
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 12:32 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, 1º de Maio have 1 win, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Salgueiro have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2024 | Caruaru City(home) | 0-2 | Pernambucano - 3 |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Belo Jardim(away) | 1-2 | Pernambucano - 3 |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Pesqueira(away) | 1-1 | Pernambucano - 3 |
| Oct 13, 2024 | América PE(home) | 1-3 | Pernambucano - 3 |
| Oct 8, 2024 | Aguia FC(away) | 1-4 | Pernambucano - 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | Retrô(away) | 1-3 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Apr 5, 2023 | Nautico Recife(away) | 1-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Afogados(home) | 3-2 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Retrô(away) | 0-1 | Pernambucano - 1 |
| Mar 12, 2023 | Nautico Recife(away) | 0-2 | Pernambucano - 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
1º de Maio score 0.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 7; Salgueiro score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1º de Maio | 0.9 | 2.3 | 1 | 4/7 | 4/7 |
| Salgueiro | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.
A question about 1º de Maio vs Salgueiro?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1º de Maio vs Salgueiro?
- The Footlab AI model makes 1º de Maio the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Salgueiro.
- Where and when is 1º de Maio vs Salgueiro played?
- 1º de Maio vs Salgueiro is played on October 18, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC), in the Pernambucano - 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.