Where and when is 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Dortmund played?

1. FC Köln vs Borussia Dortmund is played on January 13, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at RheinEnergieSTADION, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

1. FC Köln vs Borussia Dortmund: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on January 13, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)RheinEnergieSTADION, Köln

1. FC Köln

Borussia Dortmund

The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for 1. FC Köln. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Dortmund?

Borussia Dortmund starts as the favourite with a 241-point Elo edge (2,291 vs 2,049).

1. FC Köln win32 %

Draw24 %

Borussia Dortmund win44 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Köln have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Borussia Dortmund have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1. FC Köln
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Würzburger Kickers(away)	2-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 8, 2026	Real Sociedad(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 31, 2026	Hertha BSC(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 23, 2026	Bergisch Gladbach(away)	8-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026	Bayern München(away)	1-5	Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bayern München(home)	1-2	Super Cup
Aug 15, 2026	AS Roma(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 9, 2026	Arsenal(away)	3-2	Emirates Cup
Aug 1, 2026	FC Tokyo(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 1. FC Köln win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Borussia Dortmund win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 7, 2026	1. FC Köln 1-2 Borussia Dortmund	Bundesliga
Oct 25, 2025	Borussia Dortmund 1-0 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga
Jan 20, 2024	1. FC Köln 0-4 Borussia Dortmund	Bundesliga
Aug 19, 2023	Borussia Dortmund 1-0 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga
Mar 18, 2023	Borussia Dortmund 6-1 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga
Oct 1, 2022	1. FC Köln 3-2 Borussia Dortmund	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Dortmund on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

1. FC Köln score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Dortmund score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
1. FC Köln	2.0	1.9	1	13/15	12/15
Borussia Dortmund	1.7	1.2	4	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1. FC Köln sit 14th in Bundesliga (32 points from 34 matches) and Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd (73 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	22	7	5	70	34	73
14	1. FC Köln	34	7	11	16	49	63	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Dortmund?: The Footlab model makes Borussia Dortmund the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for 1. FC Köln.
Where and when is 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Dortmund played?: 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Dortmund is played on January 13, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at RheinEnergieSTADION, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.