Match

FC Schalke 04 vs Werder Bremen: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on January 13, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Arena AufSchalke, Gelsenkirchen

FC Schalke 04Werder Bremen

The Footlab model makes FC Schalke 04 the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Werder Bremen. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Schalke 04 vs Werder Bremen?

A very open match: only 6 Elo points separate FC Schalke 04 (2,047) and Werder Bremen (2,041).

FC Schalke 04 win44 %
Draw24 %
Werder Bremen win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Schalke 04 have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Werder Bremen have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Schalke 04
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Hallescher FC(away)5-2DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026Real Madrid(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Atalanta(home)0-3Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Hessen Kassel(away)5-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Fagiano Okayama(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Werder Bremen
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Lüneburger SK Hansa(away)3-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Auxerre(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026SC Paderborn 07(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Energie Cottbus(away)4-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026VfL Bochum(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FC Schalke 04 win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Werder Bremen win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 29, 2023FC Schalke 04 2-1 Werder BremenBundesliga
Jan 14, 2023FC Schalke 04 0-1 Werder BremenFriendlies Clubs
Nov 5, 2022Werder Bremen 2-1 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga
Apr 23, 2022FC Schalke 04 1-4 Werder Bremen2. Bundesliga
Nov 20, 2021Werder Bremen 1-1 FC Schalke 042. Bundesliga
Jan 30, 2021Werder Bremen 1-1 FC Schalke 04Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: FC Schalke 04 vs Werder Bremen on Apr 29, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

FC Schalke 04 score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Werder Bremen score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Schalke 042.11.357/1511/15
Werder Bremen1.81.348/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Werder Bremen348818376032

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Schalke 04 vs Werder Bremen?
The Footlab model makes FC Schalke 04 the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Werder Bremen.
Where and when is FC Schalke 04 vs Werder Bremen played?
FC Schalke 04 vs Werder Bremen is played on January 13, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Arena AufSchalke, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: FC Schalke 04 and Werder Bremen

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