Match

RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 16Kick-off on January 13, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC)Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

RB LeipzigVfB Stuttgart

The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for VfB Stuttgart. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart?

A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate RB Leipzig (2,219) and VfB Stuttgart (2,269).

49%22%29%
RB Leipzig winDrawVfB Stuttgart win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

RB Leipzig

4-2-3-1
  1. 40Rômulo
  1. 7A. Nusa
  2. 6E. Banzuzi
  3. 21N. El Aynaoui
  4. 28C. Nkunku
  5. 10B. Gruda
  1. 4W. Orbán
  2. 22D. Raum
  3. 17R. Baku
  4. 23C. Lukeba
  1. 26M. Vandevoordt

VfB Stuttgart

3-4-2-1
  1. 9E. Demirović
  1. 6A. Stiller
  2. 26D. Undav
  3. 10C. Führich
  4. 4J. Vagnoman
  5. 18J. Leweling
  6. 16A. Karazor
  1. 24J. Chabot
  2. 7M. Mittelstädt
  3. 3R. Hendriks
  1. 41D. Seimen

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 06:18 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RB Leipzig have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; VfB Stuttgart have 10, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

RB Leipzig
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 13, 2026PSV Eindhoven(home)1-0UEFA Champions League
Oct 10, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(home)6-0Bundesliga
Sep 20, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)0-2Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026Hamburger SV(home)5-0Bundesliga
Sep 10, 2026Como(away)1-4UEFA Champions League
VfB Stuttgart
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026SC Paderborn 07(away)2-0Bundesliga
Oct 1, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home)5-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 25, 20261. FC Heidenheim(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Borussia Dortmund(home)0-1Bundesliga
Sep 12, 20261899 Hoffenheim(away)1-2Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 RB Leipzig win, 0 draws, 5 VfB Stuttgart wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 15, 2026VfB Stuttgart 1-0 RB LeipzigBundesliga
Nov 1, 2025RB Leipzig 3-1 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
May 17, 2025RB Leipzig 2-3 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
Apr 2, 2025VfB Stuttgart 3-1 RB LeipzigDFB Pokal
Jan 15, 2025VfB Stuttgart 2-1 RB LeipzigBundesliga
Jan 27, 2024VfB Stuttgart 5-2 RB LeipzigBundesliga

Last archived meeting: VfB Stuttgart vs RB Leipzig on Mar 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

RB Leipzig score 2.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; VfB Stuttgart score 3.2 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
RB Leipzig2.21.576/1511/15
VfB Stuttgart3.21.067/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

RB Leipzig sit 5th in Bundesliga (9 points from 5 matches) and VfB Stuttgart sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5RB Leipzig53021559
11VfB Stuttgart5203896

A question about RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart?
The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 49%, against 22% for a draw and 29% for VfB Stuttgart.
Where and when is RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart played?
RB Leipzig vs VfB Stuttgart is played on January 13, 2027 at 07:30 PM (UTC) at Red Bull Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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