Where and when is SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Köln played?

SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Köln is played on January 16, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Home Deluxe Arena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Köln: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn

SC Paderborn 07

1. FC Köln

The Footlab model makes SC Paderborn 07 the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for 1. FC Köln. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Köln?

A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate SC Paderborn 07 (2,090) and 1. FC Köln (2,048).

SC Paderborn 07 win47 %

Draw24 %

1. FC Köln win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Paderborn 07 have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; 1. FC Köln have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SC Paderborn 07
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Phönix Lübeck(away)	4-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 8, 2026	Werder Bremen(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	VfL Osnabrück(away)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 25, 2026	VfL Wolfsburg(home)	2-1	Bundesliga
May 21, 2026	VfL Wolfsburg(away)	0-0	Bundesliga

1. FC Köln
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Würzburger Kickers(away)	2-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 8, 2026	Real Sociedad(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 31, 2026	Hertha BSC(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 23, 2026	Bergisch Gladbach(away)	8-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026	Bayern München(away)	1-5	Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 SC Paderborn 07 win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 1. FC Köln win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 29, 2025	SC Paderborn 07 1-2 1. FC Köln	2. Bundesliga
Oct 25, 2024	1. FC Köln 1-2 SC Paderborn 07	2. Bundesliga
Nov 10, 2021	1. FC Köln 4-0 SC Paderborn 07	Friendlies Clubs
Mar 6, 2020	SC Paderborn 07 1-2 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga
Oct 20, 2019	1. FC Köln 3-0 SC Paderborn 07	Bundesliga
Feb 15, 2019	SC Paderborn 07 3-2 1. FC Köln	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Köln on Mar 29, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

SC Paderborn 07 score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Köln score 2.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SC Paderborn 07	1.9	1.5	4	11/15	9/15
1. FC Köln	2.0	1.9	1	13/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	1. FC Köln	34	7	11	16	49	63	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Köln?: The Footlab model makes SC Paderborn 07 the favourite at 47%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for 1. FC Köln.
Where and when is SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Köln played?: SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Köln is played on January 16, 2027 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Home Deluxe Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.