Where and when is 1. FC Köln vs SC Paderborn 07 played?

1. FC Köln vs SC Paderborn 07 is played on May 22, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at RheinEnergieSTADION, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

1. FC Köln vs SC Paderborn 07: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)RheinEnergieSTADION, Köln

1. FC Köln

SC Paderborn 07

The Footlab model makes 1. FC Köln the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for SC Paderborn 07. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1. FC Köln vs SC Paderborn 07?

A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate 1. FC Köln (2,048) and SC Paderborn 07 (2,090).

1. FC Köln win39 %

Draw25 %

SC Paderborn 07 win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Köln have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; SC Paderborn 07 have 7, 6 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1. FC Köln
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 24, 2026	Würzburger Kickers(away)	2-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 8, 2026	Real Sociedad(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 31, 2026	Hertha BSC(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 23, 2026	Bergisch Gladbach(away)	8-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026	Bayern München(away)	1-5	Bundesliga

SC Paderborn 07
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Phönix Lübeck(away)	4-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 8, 2026	Werder Bremen(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	VfL Osnabrück(away)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 25, 2026	VfL Wolfsburg(home)	2-1	Bundesliga
May 21, 2026	VfL Wolfsburg(away)	0-0	Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 1. FC Köln win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 SC Paderborn 07 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 29, 2025	SC Paderborn 07 1-2 1. FC Köln	2. Bundesliga
Oct 25, 2024	1. FC Köln 1-2 SC Paderborn 07	2. Bundesliga
Nov 10, 2021	1. FC Köln 4-0 SC Paderborn 07	Friendlies Clubs
Mar 6, 2020	SC Paderborn 07 1-2 1. FC Köln	Bundesliga
Oct 20, 2019	1. FC Köln 3-0 SC Paderborn 07	Bundesliga
Feb 15, 2019	SC Paderborn 07 3-2 1. FC Köln	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: SC Paderborn 07 vs 1. FC Köln on Mar 29, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

1. FC Köln score 2.0 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; SC Paderborn 07 score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
1. FC Köln	2.0	1.9	1	13/15	12/15
SC Paderborn 07	1.9	1.5	4	11/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
14	1. FC Köln	34	7	11	16	49	63	32

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Köln vs SC Paderborn 07?: The Footlab model makes 1. FC Köln the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for SC Paderborn 07.
Where and when is 1. FC Köln vs SC Paderborn 07 played?: 1. FC Köln vs SC Paderborn 07 is played on May 22, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at RheinEnergieSTADION, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.