Where and when is SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund played?

SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund is played on May 22, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Europa-Park Stadion, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Europa-Park Stadion, Freiburg im Breisgau

SC Freiburg

Borussia Dortmund

The Footlab model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Borussia Dortmund. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund?

A very open match: only 98 Elo points separate SC Freiburg (2,192) and Borussia Dortmund (2,290).

SC Freiburg win38 %

Draw25 %

Borussia Dortmund win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SC Freiburg have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Borussia Dortmund have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SC Freiburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Fortuna Düsseldorf(away)	5-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 20, 2026	Motherwell(away)	3-1	UEFA Europa Conference League
Aug 15, 2026	Crystal Palace(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Strasbourg(home)	2-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Derby(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs

Borussia Dortmund
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Bayern München(home)	1-2	Super Cup
Aug 15, 2026	AS Roma(home)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 9, 2026	Arsenal(away)	3-2	Emirates Cup
Aug 1, 2026	FC Tokyo(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Cerezo Osaka(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 SC Freiburg win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Borussia Dortmund win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 26, 2026	Borussia Dortmund 4-0 SC Freiburg	Bundesliga
Dec 14, 2025	SC Freiburg 1-1 Borussia Dortmund	Bundesliga
Apr 5, 2025	SC Freiburg 1-4 Borussia Dortmund	Bundesliga
Nov 23, 2024	Borussia Dortmund 4-0 SC Freiburg	Bundesliga
Feb 9, 2024	Borussia Dortmund 3-0 SC Freiburg	Bundesliga
Sep 16, 2023	SC Freiburg 2-4 Borussia Dortmund	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Borussia Dortmund vs SC Freiburg on Apr 26, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SC Freiburg score 2.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Dortmund score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SC Freiburg	2.2	1.5	2	11/15	13/15
Borussia Dortmund	1.7	1.2	4	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SC Freiburg sit 7th in Bundesliga (47 points from 34 matches) and Borussia Dortmund sit 2nd (73 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	22	7	5	70	34	73
7	SC Freiburg	34	13	8	13	51	57	47

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund?: The Footlab model makes SC Freiburg the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Borussia Dortmund.
Where and when is SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund played?: SC Freiburg vs Borussia Dortmund is played on May 22, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Europa-Park Stadion, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.