FC Augsburg vs Hamburger SV: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)WWK Arena, Augsburg
The Footlab model makes FC Augsburg the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Hamburger SV. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC Augsburg vs Hamburger SV?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate FC Augsburg (2,073) and Hamburger SV (2,057).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Augsburg have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Hamburger SV have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(away) | 2-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Leeds(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Sassuolo(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Schwaz(away) | 15-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Bournemouth(home) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Toulouse(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lille(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Everton(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Rapid Vienna(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 1-1 | Bundesliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Augsburg win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Hamburger SV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2026 | Hamburger SV 1-1 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| Nov 22, 2025 | FC Augsburg 1-0 Hamburger SV | Bundesliga |
| Jul 7, 2021 | FC Augsburg 2-2 Hamburger SV | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jan 13, 2018 | FC Augsburg 1-0 Hamburger SV | Bundesliga |
| Aug 19, 2017 | Hamburger SV 1-0 FC Augsburg | Bundesliga |
| Apr 30, 2017 | FC Augsburg 4-0 Hamburger SV | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg on Apr 4, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
FC Augsburg score 2.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hamburger SV score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Augsburg | 2.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Hamburger SV | 1.4 | 1.9 | 0 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC Augsburg sit 9th in Bundesliga (43 points from 34 matches) and Hamburger SV sit 13th (38 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 61 | 43 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40 | 54 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC Augsburg vs Hamburger SV?
- The Footlab model makes FC Augsburg the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Hamburger SV.
- Where and when is FC Augsburg vs Hamburger SV played?
- FC Augsburg vs Hamburger SV is played on May 22, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at WWK Arena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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