Match

FC Augsburg vs Hamburger SV: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)WWK Arena, Augsburg

FC AugsburgHamburger SV

The Footlab AI model makes FC Augsburg the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Hamburger SV. The most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Augsburg vs Hamburger SV?

On Elo ratings, FC Augsburg has 2,119 points and Hamburger SV 2,081.

53%22%25%
FC Augsburg winDrawHamburger SV win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC Augsburg vs Hamburger SV

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC Augsburg

3-4-2-1
  1. 9Rodrigo Ribeiro
  1. 16Hennes Behrens
  2. 4H. Massengo
  3. 19R. Fellhauer
  4. 32F. Rieder
  5. 21A. Ibrahimović
  6. 27M. Wolf
  1. 2C. Brackelmann
  2. 5C. Matsima
  3. 35Abdulay Bah
  1. 1F. Dahmen

Hamburger SV

3-4-2-1
  1. 15Y. Poulsen
  1. 21N. Remberg
  2. 6A. Sambi Lokonga
  3. 3D. Møller Wolfe
  4. 20Fábio Vieira
  5. 5M. Adeline
  6. 37L. Lemke
  1. 24N. Capaldo
  2. 33S. Bornauw
  3. 17W. Omari
  1. 1Daniel Heuer Fernandes

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 09:46 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Augsburg have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Hamburger SV have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Augsburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Bayern München(home)2-2Bundesliga
Oct 2, 2026Hertha BSC(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Werder Bremen(away)2-3Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(home)2-2Bundesliga
Sep 6, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(away)4-1Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 20261899 Hoffenheim(away)3-2Bundesliga
Oct 4, 2026FC Copenhagen(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 20261. FC Köln(home)2-1Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2026RB Leipzig(away)0-5Bundesliga
Sep 6, 2026FSV Mainz 05(home)0-5Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Augsburg wins, 2 draws, 1 Hamburger SV win.

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 4, 2026Hamburger SV 1-1 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Nov 22, 2025FC Augsburg 1-0 Hamburger SVBundesliga
Jul 7, 2021FC Augsburg 2-2 Hamburger SVFriendlies Clubs
Jan 13, 2018FC Augsburg 1-0 Hamburger SVBundesliga
Aug 19, 2017Hamburger SV 1-0 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Apr 30, 2017FC Augsburg 4-0 Hamburger SVBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Augsburg score 2.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Hamburger SV score 1.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Augsburg2.91.9310/1513/15
Hamburger SV1.61.9210/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Augsburg sit 6th in Bundesliga (8 points from 5 matches) and Hamburger SV sit 12th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6FC Augsburg52211388
12Hamburger SV52035156

A question about FC Augsburg vs Hamburger SV?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Augsburg vs Hamburger SV?
The Footlab AI model makes FC Augsburg the favourite at 53%, against 22% for a draw and 25% for Hamburger SV.
Where and when is FC Augsburg vs Hamburger SV played?
FC Augsburg vs Hamburger SV is played on May 22, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at WWK Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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