Match

FC Augsburg vs Hamburger SV: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)WWK Arena, Augsburg

FC AugsburgHamburger SV

The Footlab model makes FC Augsburg the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Hamburger SV. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC Augsburg vs Hamburger SV?

A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate FC Augsburg (2,073) and Hamburger SV (2,057).

FC Augsburg win48 %
Draw23 %
Hamburger SV win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC Augsburg have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Hamburger SV have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC Augsburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Energie Cottbus(away)2-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026Leeds(away)0-4Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Sassuolo(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 5, 2026Schwaz(away)15-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 30, 2026Bournemouth(home)2-5Friendlies Clubs
Hamburger SV
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Toulouse(away)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026Lille(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Everton(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Rapid Vienna(away)2-3Friendlies Clubs
May 16, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(away)1-1Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC Augsburg win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Hamburger SV win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 4, 2026Hamburger SV 1-1 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Nov 22, 2025FC Augsburg 1-0 Hamburger SVBundesliga
Jul 7, 2021FC Augsburg 2-2 Hamburger SVFriendlies Clubs
Jan 13, 2018FC Augsburg 1-0 Hamburger SVBundesliga
Aug 19, 2017Hamburger SV 1-0 FC AugsburgBundesliga
Apr 30, 2017FC Augsburg 4-0 Hamburger SVBundesliga

Last archived meeting: Hamburger SV vs FC Augsburg on Apr 4, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC Augsburg score 2.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hamburger SV score 1.4 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC Augsburg2.52.0210/1510/15
Hamburger SV1.41.9013/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC Augsburg sit 9th in Bundesliga (43 points from 34 matches) and Hamburger SV sit 13th (38 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9FC Augsburg3412715456143
13Hamburger SV3491114405438

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC Augsburg vs Hamburger SV?
The Footlab model makes FC Augsburg the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Hamburger SV.
Where and when is FC Augsburg vs Hamburger SV played?
FC Augsburg vs Hamburger SV is played on May 22, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at WWK Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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