Union Berlin vs Borussia Mönchengladbach: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
The Footlab model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Union Berlin. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Union Berlin vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Union Berlin (2,031) and Borussia Mönchengladbach (2,107).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union Berlin have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Borussia Mönchengladbach have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Eintracht Braunschweig(away) | 4-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ipswich(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Aris(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Cagliari(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dynamo Dresden(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Schott Mainz(away) | 5-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Aston Villa(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SSVg Velbert(away) | 8-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hansa Rostock(away) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Union Berlin win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Borussia Mönchengladbach win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-0 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Union Berlin 3-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Union Berlin 1-2 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-0 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Borussia Mönchengladbach 0-0 Union Berlin | Bundesliga |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Union Berlin 3-1 Borussia Mönchengladbach | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Union Berlin on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Union Berlin score 2.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia Mönchengladbach score 2.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin | 2.5 | 1.9 | 1 | 13/15 | 12/15 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | 2.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Union Berlin sit 11th in Bundesliga (39 points from 34 matches) and Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 12th (38 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 58 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 53 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Union Berlin vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
- The Footlab model makes Borussia Mönchengladbach the favourite at 41%, against 24% for a draw and 35% for Union Berlin.
- Where and when is Union Berlin vs Borussia Mönchengladbach played?
- Union Berlin vs Borussia Mönchengladbach is played on May 22, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion An der Alten Försterei, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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