Where and when is RB Leipzig vs 1899 Hoffenheim played?

RB Leipzig vs 1899 Hoffenheim is played on May 22, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Red Bull Arena, in the Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

RB Leipzig vs 1899 Hoffenheim: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Red Bull Arena, Leipzig

RB Leipzig

1899 Hoffenheim

The Footlab model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for 1899 Hoffenheim. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win RB Leipzig vs 1899 Hoffenheim?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate RB Leipzig (2,211) and 1899 Hoffenheim (2,163).

RB Leipzig win51 %

Draw23 %

1899 Hoffenheim win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RB Leipzig have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; 1899 Hoffenheim have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

RB Leipzig
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Eintracht Trier(away)	6-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	Bayern München(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 8, 2026	Leeds(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Verl(home)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	FC Ingolstadt 04(home)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs

1899 Hoffenheim
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Erzgebirge Aue(away)	4-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	Tottenham(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026	Karlsruher SC(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026	Holstein Kiel(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	SGV Freiberg(away)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 RB Leipzig win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 1899 Hoffenheim win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 20, 2026	RB Leipzig 5-0 1899 Hoffenheim	Bundesliga
Nov 8, 2025	1899 Hoffenheim 3-1 RB Leipzig	Bundesliga
Apr 5, 2025	RB Leipzig 3-1 1899 Hoffenheim	Bundesliga
Nov 23, 2024	1899 Hoffenheim 4-3 RB Leipzig	Bundesliga
May 3, 2024	1899 Hoffenheim 1-1 RB Leipzig	Bundesliga
Dec 16, 2023	RB Leipzig 3-1 1899 Hoffenheim	Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: RB Leipzig vs 1899 Hoffenheim on Mar 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

RB Leipzig score 2.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; 1899 Hoffenheim score 1.9 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
RB Leipzig	2.2	1.4	5	9/15	12/15
1899 Hoffenheim	1.9	1.9	4	8/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

RB Leipzig sit 3rd in Bundesliga (65 points from 34 matches) and 1899 Hoffenheim sit 5th (61 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	RB Leipzig	34	20	5	9	66	47	65
5	1899 Hoffenheim	34	18	7	9	65	52	61

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for RB Leipzig vs 1899 Hoffenheim?: The Footlab model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 27% for 1899 Hoffenheim.
Where and when is RB Leipzig vs 1899 Hoffenheim played?: RB Leipzig vs 1899 Hoffenheim is played on May 22, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Red Bull Arena, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.