RB Leipzig vs 1899 Hoffenheim: prediction and stats
BundesligaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Red Bull Arena, Leipzig
The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for 1899 Hoffenheim. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win RB Leipzig vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
RB Leipzig starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (2,218 vs 2,116).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for RB Leipzig vs 1899 Hoffenheim
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
RB Leipzig
4-2-3-1- 40Rômulo
- 7A. Nusa
- 6E. Banzuzi
- 21N. El Aynaoui
- 28C. Nkunku
- 10B. Gruda
- 4W. Orbán
- 22D. Raum
- 17R. Baku
- 23C. Lukeba
- 26M. Vandevoordt
1899 Hoffenheim
4-2-3-1- 19T. Lemperle
- 7L. Avdullahu
- 18W. Burger
- 14A. Daghim
- 20B. Conté
- 10A. Hložek
- 34V. Coufal
- 5O. Kabak
- 28K. Machida
- 13Bernardo
- 1O. Baumann
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:34 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RB Leipzig have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; 1899 Hoffenheim have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | PSV Eindhoven(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Eintracht Frankfurt(home) | 6-0 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bayer Leverkusen(away) | 0-2 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Hamburger SV(home) | 5-0 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Como(away) | 1-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hamburger SV(home) | 2-3 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | SC Paderborn 07(away) | 1-3 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | OFI(away) | 0-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(home) | 2-1 | Bundesliga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 2-3 | Bundesliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 RB Leipzig wins, 1 draw, 2 1899 Hoffenheim wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | RB Leipzig 5-0 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1899 Hoffenheim 3-1 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| Apr 5, 2025 | RB Leipzig 3-1 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1899 Hoffenheim 4-3 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| May 3, 2024 | 1899 Hoffenheim 1-1 RB Leipzig | Bundesliga |
| Dec 16, 2023 | RB Leipzig 3-1 1899 Hoffenheim | Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: RB Leipzig vs 1899 Hoffenheim on Mar 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
RB Leipzig score 2.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; 1899 Hoffenheim score 1.9 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 2.2 | 1.5 | 7 | 6/15 | 11/15 |
| 1899 Hoffenheim | 1.9 | 1.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
RB Leipzig sit 5th in Bundesliga (9 points from 5 matches) and 1899 Hoffenheim sit 17th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 9 |
| 17 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 3 |
A question about RB Leipzig vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for RB Leipzig vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
- The Footlab AI model makes RB Leipzig the favourite at 59%, against 21% for a draw and 20% for 1899 Hoffenheim.
- Where and when is RB Leipzig vs 1899 Hoffenheim played?
- RB Leipzig vs 1899 Hoffenheim is played on May 22, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Red Bull Arena, in the Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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