Match

FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart: prediction and stats

BundesligaRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)MEWA ARENA, Mainz

FSV Mainz 05VfB Stuttgart

The Footlab AI model makes FSV Mainz 05 the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for VfB Stuttgart. The most likely score is 1-1. If FSV Mainz 05 wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,466 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart?

On Elo ratings, FSV Mainz 05 has 2,167 points and VfB Stuttgart 2,278.

48%22%30%
FSV Mainz 05 winDrawVfB Stuttgart win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FSV Mainz 05

3-5-2
  1. 23S. Becker
  2. 9P. Tietz
  1. 10N. Amiri
  2. 19A. Caci
  3. 6K. Sano
  4. 2P. Mwene
  5. 7Lee Jae-Sung
  1. 3F. Gruber
  2. 48K. Potulski
  3. 4S. Posch
  1. 1A. Schwolow

VfB Stuttgart

3-4-2-1
  1. 9E. Demirović
  1. 6A. Stiller
  2. 26D. Undav
  3. 10C. Führich
  4. 4J. Vagnoman
  5. 21G. Prömel
  6. 18J. Leweling
  1. 24J. Chabot
  2. 3R. Hendriks
  3. 7M. Mittelstädt
  1. 1F. Bredlow

Computed on October 16, 2026 at 02:46 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FSV Mainz 05 have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; VfB Stuttgart have 10, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Bayer Leverkusen(home)3-4Bundesliga
Oct 3, 2026Waldhof Mannheim(away)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(away)4-3Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026Eintracht Frankfurt(home)1-3Bundesliga
Sep 6, 2026Hamburger SV(away)5-0Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 14, 2026Slovan Bratislava(away)3-0UEFA Champions League
Oct 10, 2026SC Paderborn 07(away)2-0Bundesliga
Oct 1, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home)5-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 25, 20261. FC Heidenheim(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Borussia Dortmund(home)0-1Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 FSV Mainz 05 win, 2 draws, 3 VfB Stuttgart wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2026FSV Mainz 05 2-2 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
Oct 29, 2025FSV Mainz 05 0-2 VfB StuttgartDFB Pokal
Oct 26, 2025VfB Stuttgart 2-1 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
Jan 25, 2025FSV Mainz 05 2-0 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
Aug 31, 2024VfB Stuttgart 3-3 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
Feb 11, 2024VfB Stuttgart 3-1 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FSV Mainz 05 score 3.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; VfB Stuttgart score 2.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FSV Mainz 053.61.096/1512/15
VfB Stuttgart2.91.067/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FSV Mainz 05 sit 8th in Bundesliga (7 points from 5 matches) and VfB Stuttgart sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8FSV Mainz 05521213107
11VfB Stuttgart5203896

A question about FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart?
The Footlab AI model makes FSV Mainz 05 the favourite at 48%, against 22% for a draw and 30% for VfB Stuttgart.
Where and when is FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart played?
FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart is played on May 22, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at MEWA ARENA, in the Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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