Match

1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)MDCC-Arena, Magdeburg

1. FC Magdeburg1. FC Heidenheim

The Footlab model makes 1. FC Magdeburg the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for 1. FC Heidenheim. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim?

A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate 1. FC Magdeburg (1,984) and 1. FC Heidenheim (1,969).

1. FC Magdeburg win45 %
Draw25 %
1. FC Heidenheim win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Magdeburg have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; 1. FC Heidenheim have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1. FC Magdeburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Bahlinger SC(away)4-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026VfL Osnabrück(away)3-02. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(home)1-62. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026West Ham(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Schöningen(away)4-0Friendlies Clubs
1. FC Heidenheim
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026SSV Jeddeloh(away)2-5DFB Pokal
Aug 18, 2026Bayern München(home)2-4Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 2026Hertha BSC(away)1-42. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026VfL Osnabrück(home)4-32. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026FC Ingolstadt 04(home)4-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 0 1. FC Magdeburg win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 1. FC Heidenheim win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 7, 20231. FC Heidenheim 0-0 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
Oct 28, 20221. FC Magdeburg 1-1 1. FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga
Mar 29, 20191. FC Magdeburg 0-0 1. FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga
Oct 20, 20181. FC Heidenheim 3-0 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Magdeburg on May 7, 2023

How many goals should we expect?

1. FC Magdeburg score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Heidenheim score 2.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
1. FC Magdeburg2.31.258/159/15
1. FC Heidenheim2.51.9211/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1. FC Magdeburg sit 10th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Heidenheim sit 9th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
91. FC Heidenheim2101573
101. FC Magdeburg2101463

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim?
The Footlab model makes 1. FC Magdeburg the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for 1. FC Heidenheim.
Where and when is 1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim played?
1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim is played on January 16, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at MDCC-Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: 1. FC Magdeburg and 1. FC Heidenheim

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