1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)MDCC-Arena, Magdeburg
The Footlab model makes 1. FC Magdeburg the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for 1. FC Heidenheim. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim?
A very open match: only 15 Elo points separate 1. FC Magdeburg (1,984) and 1. FC Heidenheim (1,969).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Magdeburg have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; 1. FC Heidenheim have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bahlinger SC(away) | 4-0 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück(away) | 3-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Eintracht Braunschweig(home) | 1-6 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | West Ham(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Schöningen(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SSV Jeddeloh(away) | 2-5 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Bayern München(home) | 2-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hertha BSC(away) | 1-4 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | VfL Osnabrück(home) | 4-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Ingolstadt 04(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 1. FC Magdeburg win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 1. FC Heidenheim win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2023 | 1. FC Heidenheim 0-0 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 1. FC Magdeburg 1-1 1. FC Heidenheim | 2. Bundesliga |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 1. FC Magdeburg 0-0 1. FC Heidenheim | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 1. FC Heidenheim 3-0 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: 1. FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Magdeburg on May 7, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
1. FC Magdeburg score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Heidenheim score 2.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Magdeburg | 2.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| 1. FC Heidenheim | 2.5 | 1.9 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
1. FC Magdeburg sit 10th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Heidenheim sit 9th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 10 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim?
- The Footlab model makes 1. FC Magdeburg the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for 1. FC Heidenheim.
- Where and when is 1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim played?
- 1. FC Magdeburg vs 1. FC Heidenheim is played on January 16, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at MDCC-Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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