Match

Holstein Kiel vs VfL Bochum: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Holstein-Stadion, Kiel

Holstein KielVfL Bochum

The Footlab AI model makes Holstein Kiel the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for VfL Bochum. The most likely score is 1-1. If Holstein Kiel wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,772 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Holstein Kiel vs VfL Bochum?

A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Holstein Kiel (1,974) and VfL Bochum (1,974).

38%26%36%
Holstein Kiel winDrawVfL Bochum win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Holstein Kiel vs VfL Bochum

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Holstein Kiel

4-1-4-1
  1. 19P. Harres
  1. 28J. Meffert
  2. 20A. Kaprálik
  3. 8G. Balzi
  4. 10J. Therkelsen
  5. 43T. Wiese
  1. 32H. Sekine
  2. 5N. Madsen
  3. 40Leon Parduzi
  4. 13I. Nekić
  1. 1T. Weiner

VfL Bochum

4-2-3-1
  1. 33P. Hofmann
  1. 7C. Rasmussen
  2. 34T. Meyer
  3. 23K. Miyoshi
  4. 17G. Holtmann
  5. 24M. Pannewig
  1. 15M. Steinwender
  2. 32M. Wittek
  3. 5K. Mets
  4. 2S. Klaiber
  1. 1T. Horn

Computed on October 19, 2026 at 12:46 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holstein Kiel have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; VfL Bochum have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 16, 2026Hertha BSC(home)0-02. Bundesliga
Oct 9, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(away)0-12. Bundesliga
Oct 3, 2026Viborg(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026VfL Osnabrück(home)1-12. Bundesliga
Sep 13, 20261. FC Heidenheim(away)0-12. Bundesliga
VfL Bochum
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 20261. FC Kaiserslautern(away)0-22. Bundesliga
Oct 11, 2026Arminia Bielefeld(home)0-12. Bundesliga
Oct 2, 2026VfL Osnabrück(home)4-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026Hannover 96(away)1-22. Bundesliga
Sep 12, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home)1-12. Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Holstein Kiel wins, 3 draws, 1 VfL Bochum win.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 22, 2026VfL Bochum 2-3 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
Oct 25, 2025Holstein Kiel 1-1 VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga
Feb 9, 2025Holstein Kiel 2-2 VfL BochumBundesliga
Sep 21, 2024VfL Bochum 2-2 Holstein KielBundesliga
Apr 3, 2021VfL Bochum 2-1 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
Dec 4, 2020Holstein Kiel 3-1 VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: VfL Bochum vs Holstein Kiel on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Holstein Kiel score 1.4 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; VfL Bochum score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Holstein Kiel1.41.529/159/15
VfL Bochum1.11.137/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Holstein Kiel sit 18th in 2. Bundesliga (5 points from 8 matches) and VfL Bochum sit 16th (7 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
16VfL Bochum8215597
18Holstein Kiel80537115

A question about Holstein Kiel vs VfL Bochum?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Holstein Kiel vs VfL Bochum?
The Footlab AI model makes Holstein Kiel the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for VfL Bochum.
Where and when is Holstein Kiel vs VfL Bochum played?
Holstein Kiel vs VfL Bochum is played on January 16, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Holstein-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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