Where and when is Holstein Kiel vs VfL Bochum played?

Holstein Kiel vs VfL Bochum is played on January 16, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Holstein-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Holstein Kiel vs VfL Bochum: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Holstein-Stadion, Kiel

Holstein Kiel

VfL Bochum

The Footlab model makes Holstein Kiel the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for VfL Bochum. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Holstein Kiel vs VfL Bochum?

A very open match: only 2 Elo points separate Holstein Kiel (1,984) and VfL Bochum (1,986).

Holstein Kiel win43 %

Draw26 %

VfL Bochum win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Holstein Kiel have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; VfL Bochum have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Holstein Kiel
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	TSV 1860 München(away)	2-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026	FC St. Pauli(home)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	SV Darmstadt 98(away)	2-2	2. Bundesliga
Jul 29, 2026	1899 Hoffenheim(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	FSV Mainz 05(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs

VfL Bochum
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away)	2-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026	Eintracht Braunschweig(away)	1-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 7, 2026	Hertha BSC(home)	0-1	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Sheffield Utd(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Werder Bremen(away)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Holstein Kiel win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 VfL Bochum win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 22, 2026	VfL Bochum 2-3 Holstein Kiel	2. Bundesliga
Oct 25, 2025	Holstein Kiel 1-1 VfL Bochum	2. Bundesliga
Feb 9, 2025	Holstein Kiel 2-2 VfL Bochum	Bundesliga
Sep 21, 2024	VfL Bochum 2-2 Holstein Kiel	Bundesliga
Apr 3, 2021	VfL Bochum 2-1 Holstein Kiel	2. Bundesliga
Dec 4, 2020	Holstein Kiel 3-1 VfL Bochum	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: VfL Bochum vs Holstein Kiel on Mar 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Holstein Kiel score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; VfL Bochum score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Holstein Kiel	1.7	1.5	4	10/15	12/15
VfL Bochum	1.3	1.2	3	9/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Holstein Kiel sit 12th in 2. Bundesliga (2 points from 2 matches) and VfL Bochum sit 7th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
7	VfL Bochum	2	1	0	1	1	1	3
12	Holstein Kiel	2	0	2	0	4	4	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Holstein Kiel vs VfL Bochum?: The Footlab model makes Holstein Kiel the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for VfL Bochum.
Where and when is Holstein Kiel vs VfL Bochum played?: Holstein Kiel vs VfL Bochum is played on January 16, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Holstein-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.