Where and when is SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Karlsruher SC played?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Karlsruher SC is played on January 16, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Karlsruher SC: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, Fürth

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Karlsruher SC

The Footlab model makes SpVgg Greuther Fürth the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Karlsruher SC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Karlsruher SC?

A very open match: only 83 Elo points separate SpVgg Greuther Fürth (1,876) and Karlsruher SC (1,959).

SpVgg Greuther Fürth win47 %

Draw25 %

Karlsruher SC win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Karlsruher SC have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	VfL Bochum(home)	1-2	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	1. FC Nürnberg(home)	2-4	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	FC St. Pauli(away)	1-1	2. Bundesliga
Jul 18, 2026	FC Zurich(away)	3-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 11, 2026	Eintracht Bamberg(home)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

Karlsruher SC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Preußen Münster(away)	2-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	1. FC Kaiserslautern(away)	0-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	Arminia Bielefeld(home)	2-1	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	1899 Hoffenheim(away)	0-3	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 26, 2026	Inter(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Karlsruher SC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 20, 2026	Karlsruher SC 3-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2. Bundesliga
Oct 24, 2025	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-4 Karlsruher SC	2. Bundesliga
Apr 20, 2025	Karlsruher SC 1-0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2. Bundesliga
Nov 23, 2024	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2-3 Karlsruher SC	2. Bundesliga
Mar 2, 2024	Karlsruher SC 4-0 SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2. Bundesliga
Sep 23, 2023	SpVgg Greuther Fürth 4-3 Karlsruher SC	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Karlsruher SC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth on Mar 20, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Karlsruher SC score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
SpVgg Greuther Fürth	1.3	1.7	3	9/15	9/15
Karlsruher SC	1.3	1.9	1	10/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

SpVgg Greuther Fürth sit 16th in 2. Bundesliga (1 points from 2 matches) and Karlsruher SC sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Karlsruher SC	2	1	1	0	2	1	4
16	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2	0	1	1	3	5	1

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Karlsruher SC?: The Footlab model makes SpVgg Greuther Fürth the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Karlsruher SC.
Where and when is SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Karlsruher SC played?: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Karlsruher SC is played on January 16, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.