Where and when is Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Nürnberg played?

Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Nürnberg is played on January 16, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Olympiastadion Berlin, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Nürnberg: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Olympiastadion Berlin, Berlin

Hertha BSC

1. FC Nürnberg

The Footlab model makes Hertha BSC the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for 1. FC Nürnberg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Hertha BSC (2,043) and 1. FC Nürnberg (2,021).

Hertha BSC win48 %

Draw24 %

1. FC Nürnberg win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hertha BSC have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; 1. FC Nürnberg have 8, 6 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hertha BSC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	FC Saarbrücken(away)	1-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	1. FC Heidenheim(home)	4-1	2. Bundesliga
Aug 7, 2026	VfL Bochum(away)	1-0	2. Bundesliga
Jul 31, 2026	1. FC Köln(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026	Mamelodi Sundowns(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs

1. FC Nürnberg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	FC Viktoria Köln(away)	1-1	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	SpVgg Greuther Fürth(away)	4-2	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	Dynamo Dresden(home)	3-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Oviedo(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Palermo(away)	2-2	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Hertha BSC win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 1. FC Nürnberg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 1, 2026	Hertha BSC 2-1 1. FC Nürnberg	2. Bundesliga
Sep 28, 2025	1. FC Nürnberg 0-3 Hertha BSC	2. Bundesliga
Feb 21, 2025	Hertha BSC 0-0 1. FC Nürnberg	2. Bundesliga
Sep 21, 2024	1. FC Nürnberg 0-2 Hertha BSC	2. Bundesliga
Mar 30, 2024	Hertha BSC 3-3 1. FC Nürnberg	2. Bundesliga
Oct 22, 2023	1. FC Nürnberg 3-1 Hertha BSC	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Nürnberg on Mar 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hertha BSC score 2.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Nürnberg score 2.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Hertha BSC	2.8	1.3	3	9/15	8/15
1. FC Nürnberg	2.7	1.2	4	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hertha BSC sit 2nd in 2. Bundesliga (6 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Nürnberg sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	1. FC Nürnberg	2	2	0	0	7	2	6
2	Hertha BSC	2	2	0	0	5	1	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Nürnberg?: The Footlab model makes Hertha BSC the favourite at 48%, against 24% for a draw and 29% for 1. FC Nürnberg.
Where and when is Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Nürnberg played?: Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Nürnberg is played on January 16, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Olympiastadion Berlin, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.