Where and when is Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Wolfsburg played?

Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Wolfsburg is played on January 16, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Wolfsburg: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, Dresden

Dynamo Dresden

VfL Wolfsburg

The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for VfL Wolfsburg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Wolfsburg?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Dynamo Dresden (2,026) and VfL Wolfsburg (2,034).

Dynamo Dresden win45 %

Draw25 %

VfL Wolfsburg win30 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dynamo Dresden have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; VfL Wolfsburg have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dynamo Dresden
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Westfalia Rhynern(away)	6-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	SV Darmstadt 98(home)	1-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	1. FC Nürnberg(away)	0-3	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Union Berlin(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Energie Cottbus(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

VfL Wolfsburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 16, 2026	Hannover 96(away)	1-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	1. FC Kaiserslautern(home)	0-0	2. Bundesliga
Jul 31, 2026	Telstar(home)	3-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026	Lyon(home)	0-2	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Verl(home)	3-0	Friendlies Clubs

How many goals should we expect?

Dynamo Dresden score 2.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; VfL Wolfsburg score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Dynamo Dresden	2.8	0.9	8	5/15	10/15
VfL Wolfsburg	1.7	1.3	5	8/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Dynamo Dresden sit 11th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and VfL Wolfsburg sit 4th (4 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	VfL Wolfsburg	2	1	1	0	1	0	4
11	Dynamo Dresden	2	1	0	1	1	3	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Wolfsburg?: The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for VfL Wolfsburg.
Where and when is Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Wolfsburg played?: Dynamo Dresden vs VfL Wolfsburg is played on January 16, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.