Arminia Bielefeld vs Hannover 96: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on January 16, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)SchücoArena, Bielefeld
The Footlab model makes Hannover 96 the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Arminia Bielefeld. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arminia Bielefeld vs Hannover 96?
A very open match: only 59 Elo points separate Arminia Bielefeld (2,016) and Hannover 96 (2,075).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arminia Bielefeld have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Hannover 96 have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away) | 2-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(home) | 3-0 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Karlsruher SC(away) | 1-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | MSV Duisburg(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Bologna(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hemelingen(away) | 9-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(home) | 0-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(away) | 1-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Arminia Bielefeld win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Hannover 96 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Arminia Bielefeld 0-1 Hannover 96 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Hannover 96 3-1 Arminia Bielefeld | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Arminia Bielefeld 2-0 Hannover 96 | DFB Pokal |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Arminia Bielefeld 1-3 Hannover 96 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Hannover 96 2-0 Arminia Bielefeld | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 10, 2021 | Arminia Bielefeld 1-0 Hannover 96 | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Arminia Bielefeld vs Hannover 96 on Feb 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arminia Bielefeld score 2.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Hannover 96 score 2.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arminia Bielefeld | 2.6 | 1.4 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Hannover 96 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arminia Bielefeld sit 6th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and Hannover 96 sit 17th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Arminia Bielefeld | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 17 | Hannover 96 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arminia Bielefeld vs Hannover 96?
- The Footlab model makes Hannover 96 the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Arminia Bielefeld.
- Where and when is Arminia Bielefeld vs Hannover 96 played?
- Arminia Bielefeld vs Hannover 96 is played on January 16, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at SchücoArena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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