Match

1. FC Magdeburg vs Dynamo Dresden: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)MDCC-Arena, Magdeburg

1. FC MagdeburgDynamo Dresden

The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for 1. FC Magdeburg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win 1. FC Magdeburg vs Dynamo Dresden?

A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate 1. FC Magdeburg (1,982) and Dynamo Dresden (2,024).

1. FC Magdeburg win33 %
Draw25 %
Dynamo Dresden win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 1. FC Magdeburg have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Dynamo Dresden have 10, 0 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

1. FC Magdeburg
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Bahlinger SC(away)4-0DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026VfL Osnabrück(away)3-02. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(home)1-62. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026West Ham(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Schöningen(away)4-0Friendlies Clubs
Dynamo Dresden
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Westfalia Rhynern(away)6-0DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(home)1-02. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 20261. FC Nürnberg(away)0-32. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026Union Berlin(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Energie Cottbus(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 1. FC Magdeburg win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Dynamo Dresden win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 24, 20261. FC Magdeburg 1-2 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2025Dynamo Dresden 1-2 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
Jan 6, 2024Dynamo Dresden 2-2 1. FC MagdeburgFriendlies Clubs
Feb 6, 20211. FC Magdeburg 0-1 Dynamo Dresden3. Liga
Oct 10, 2020Dynamo Dresden 1-0 1. FC Magdeburg3. Liga
Mar 16, 2019Dynamo Dresden 1-1 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1. FC Magdeburg vs Dynamo Dresden on Jan 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

1. FC Magdeburg score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Dynamo Dresden score 2.8 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
1. FC Magdeburg2.31.258/159/15
Dynamo Dresden2.80.985/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

1. FC Magdeburg sit 10th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and Dynamo Dresden sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
101. FC Magdeburg2101463
11Dynamo Dresden2101133

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for 1. FC Magdeburg vs Dynamo Dresden?
The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 33% for 1. FC Magdeburg.
Where and when is 1. FC Magdeburg vs Dynamo Dresden played?
1. FC Magdeburg vs Dynamo Dresden is played on March 6, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at MDCC-Arena, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: 1. FC Magdeburg and Dynamo Dresden

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