Match

Hertha BSC vs Holstein Kiel: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Olympiastadion Berlin, Berlin

Hertha BSCHolstein Kiel

The Footlab AI model makes Hertha BSC the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Holstein Kiel. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,919 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Hertha BSC vs Holstein Kiel?

Hertha BSC starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (2,126 vs 1,995).

63%21%16%
Hertha BSC winDrawHolstein Kiel win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Hertha BSC vs Holstein Kiel

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Hertha BSC

4-2-3-1
  1. 17S. Grønning
  1. 7J. Brekalo
  2. 8K. Sessa
  3. 30P. Seguin
  4. 23J. Þorsteinsson
  5. 19O. Adewumi
  1. 27N. Kolbe
  2. 2J. Eitschberger
  3. 44L. Gechter
  4. 42D. Zeefuik
  1. 35M. Gersbeck

Holstein Kiel

4-1-4-1
  1. 19P. Harres
  1. 28J. Meffert
  2. 20A. Kaprálik
  3. 8G. Balzi
  4. 10J. Therkelsen
  5. 43T. Wiese
  1. 32H. Sekine
  2. 5N. Madsen
  3. 40Leon Parduzi
  4. 13I. Nekić
  1. 1T. Weiner

Computed on October 21, 2026 at 04:06 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Hertha BSC have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeat; Holstein Kiel have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Hertha BSC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 16, 2026Holstein Kiel(away)0-02. Bundesliga
Oct 11, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home)2-12. Bundesliga
Oct 2, 2026FC Augsburg(away)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Sep 29, 2026Hertha Zehlendorf(away)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Dynamo Dresden(away)2-12. Bundesliga
Holstein Kiel
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 16, 2026Hertha BSC(home)0-02. Bundesliga
Oct 9, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(away)0-12. Bundesliga
Oct 3, 2026Viborg(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026VfL Osnabrück(home)1-12. Bundesliga
Sep 13, 20261. FC Heidenheim(away)0-12. Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Hertha BSC wins, 2 draws, 1 Holstein Kiel win.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 16, 2026Holstein Kiel 0-0 Hertha BSC2. Bundesliga
Apr 25, 2026Hertha BSC 0-1 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
Nov 29, 2025Holstein Kiel 0-1 Hertha BSC2. Bundesliga
Mar 1, 2024Hertha BSC 2-2 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
Sep 24, 2023Holstein Kiel 2-3 Hertha BSC2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC on Oct 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Hertha BSC score 2.2 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Holstein Kiel score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Hertha BSC2.21.3213/1511/15
Holstein Kiel1.41.529/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Hertha BSC sit 1st in 2. Bundesliga (22 points from 8 matches) and Holstein Kiel sit 18th (5 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Hertha BSC871019822
18Holstein Kiel80537115

A question about Hertha BSC vs Holstein Kiel?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Hertha BSC vs Holstein Kiel?
The Footlab AI model makes Hertha BSC the favourite at 63%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Holstein Kiel.
Where and when is Hertha BSC vs Holstein Kiel played?
Hertha BSC vs Holstein Kiel is played on March 6, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Olympiastadion Berlin, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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