Match

VfL Osnabrück vs Arminia Bielefeld: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Bremer Brücke, Osnabrück

VfL OsnabrückArminia Bielefeld

The Footlab model makes VfL Osnabrück the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Arminia Bielefeld. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win VfL Osnabrück vs Arminia Bielefeld?

A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate VfL Osnabrück (2,008) and Arminia Bielefeld (2,017).

VfL Osnabrück win43 %
Draw26 %
Arminia Bielefeld win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, VfL Osnabrück have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Arminia Bielefeld have 8, 4 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

VfL Osnabrück
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 18, 2026Spelle-Venhaus(away)5-3Friendlies Clubs
Aug 15, 20261. FC Magdeburg(home)0-32. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 20261. FC Heidenheim(away)3-42. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026SC Paderborn 07(home)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026Nordhorn(away)7-0Friendlies Clubs
Arminia Bielefeld
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach(away)2-2DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026Energie Cottbus(home)3-02. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026Karlsruher SC(away)1-22. Bundesliga
Jul 25, 2026MSV Duisburg(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Bologna(away)4-0Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 VfL Osnabrück win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Arminia Bielefeld win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 15, 2025VfL Osnabrück 0-1 Arminia Bielefeld3. Liga
Oct 20, 2024Arminia Bielefeld 3-1 VfL Osnabrück3. Liga
Aug 15, 2020Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 VfL OsnabrückFriendlies Clubs
May 17, 2020Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 VfL Osnabrück2. Bundesliga
Oct 7, 2019VfL Osnabrück 0-1 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
Feb 18, 2015VfL Osnabrück 0-4 Arminia Bielefeld3. Liga

Last archived meeting: VfL Osnabrück vs Arminia Bielefeld on Mar 15, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

VfL Osnabrück score 2.2 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Arminia Bielefeld score 2.6 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
VfL Osnabrück2.21.647/159/15
Arminia Bielefeld2.61.4311/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

VfL Osnabrück sit 18th in 2. Bundesliga (0 points from 2 matches) and Arminia Bielefeld sit 6th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Arminia Bielefeld2101423
18VfL Osnabrück2002370

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for VfL Osnabrück vs Arminia Bielefeld?
The Footlab model makes VfL Osnabrück the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Arminia Bielefeld.
Where and when is VfL Osnabrück vs Arminia Bielefeld played?
VfL Osnabrück vs Arminia Bielefeld is played on March 6, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Bremer Brücke, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: VfL Osnabrück and Arminia Bielefeld

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