Match

FC St. Pauli vs Hannover 96: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

FC St. PauliHannover 96

The Footlab model makes Hannover 96 the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for FC St. Pauli. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC St. Pauli vs Hannover 96?

Hannover 96 starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (2,078 vs 1,962).

FC St. Pauli win32 %
Draw26 %
Hannover 96 win43 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC St. Pauli have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Hannover 96 have 8, 5 and 2.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC St. Pauli
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Rot-Weiß Essen(away)0-2DFB Pokal
Aug 14, 2026Holstein Kiel(away)2-22. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home)1-12. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026Deportivo La Coruna(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 24, 2026Bournemouth(away)1-4Friendlies Clubs
Hannover 96
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hemelingen(away)9-1DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026VfL Wolfsburg(home)0-12. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026Energie Cottbus(away)1-32. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026PEC Zwolle(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 7, 2026Phönix Lübeck(home)3-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC St. Pauli win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Hannover 96 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 21, 2024Hannover 96 1-2 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
Nov 10, 2023FC St. Pauli 0-0 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
Mar 24, 2023FC St. Pauli 2-0 Hannover 96Friendlies Clubs
Feb 5, 2023FC St. Pauli 2-0 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
Jul 23, 2022Hannover 96 2-2 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
Feb 20, 2022FC St. Pauli 0-3 Hannover 962. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Hannover 96 vs FC St. Pauli on Apr 21, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

FC St. Pauli score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hannover 96 score 2.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC St. Pauli1.32.0012/1510/15
Hannover 962.71.159/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC St. Pauli sit 13th in 2. Bundesliga (2 points from 2 matches) and Hannover 96 sit 17th (0 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13FC St. Pauli2020332
17Hannover 962002140

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC St. Pauli vs Hannover 96?
The Footlab model makes Hannover 96 the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for FC St. Pauli.
Where and when is FC St. Pauli vs Hannover 96 played?
FC St. Pauli vs Hannover 96 is played on March 6, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Millerntor-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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