FC St. Pauli vs Hannover 96: prediction and stats
2. BundesligaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes Hannover 96 the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for FC St. Pauli. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win FC St. Pauli vs Hannover 96?
Hannover 96 starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (2,078 vs 1,962).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC St. Pauli have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Hannover 96 have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rot-Weiß Essen(away) | 0-2 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Holstein Kiel(away) | 2-2 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth(home) | 1-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Deportivo La Coruna(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hemelingen(away) | 9-1 | DFB Pokal |
| Aug 16, 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg(home) | 0-1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Energie Cottbus(away) | 1-3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Phönix Lübeck(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC St. Pauli win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Hannover 96 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2024 | Hannover 96 1-2 FC St. Pauli | 2. Bundesliga |
| Nov 10, 2023 | FC St. Pauli 0-0 Hannover 96 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Mar 24, 2023 | FC St. Pauli 2-0 Hannover 96 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 5, 2023 | FC St. Pauli 2-0 Hannover 96 | 2. Bundesliga |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Hannover 96 2-2 FC St. Pauli | 2. Bundesliga |
| Feb 20, 2022 | FC St. Pauli 0-3 Hannover 96 | 2. Bundesliga |
Last archived meeting: Hannover 96 vs FC St. Pauli on Apr 21, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
FC St. Pauli score 1.3 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hannover 96 score 2.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli | 1.3 | 2.0 | 0 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Hannover 96 | 2.7 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
FC St. Pauli sit 13th in 2. Bundesliga (2 points from 2 matches) and Hannover 96 sit 17th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | FC St. Pauli | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| 17 | Hannover 96 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for FC St. Pauli vs Hannover 96?
- The Footlab model makes Hannover 96 the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for FC St. Pauli.
- Where and when is FC St. Pauli vs Hannover 96 played?
- FC St. Pauli vs Hannover 96 is played on March 6, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Millerntor-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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