Match

FC St. Pauli vs Hannover 96: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 25Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

FC St. PauliHannover 96

The Footlab AI model makes Hannover 96 the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for FC St. Pauli. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hannover 96 wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,489 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win FC St. Pauli vs Hannover 96?

A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate FC St. Pauli (1,995) and Hannover 96 (2,071).

31%26%43%
FC St. Pauli winDrawHannover 96 win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for FC St. Pauli vs Hannover 96

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

FC St. Pauli

3-4-1-2
  1. 7Y. Niang
  2. 9Abdoulie Ceesay
  1. 20M. Rasmussen
  2. 11A. Pyrka
  3. 23L. Oppie
  4. 16J. Fujita
  5. 24C. Metcalfe
  1. 4D. Nemeth
  2. 8E. Smith
  3. 21L. Ritzka
  1. 1B. Voll

Hannover 96

4-1-3-2
  1. 10M. Hartel
  2. 9B. Källman
  1. 29K. Oudenne
  2. 23S. Þórðarson
  3. 8W. Taïbi
  4. 14H. Chakroun
  1. 33M. Neubauer
  2. 3B. Tomiak
  3. 4J. Hugonet
  4. 5V. Ghiță
  1. 30L. Weinkauf

Computed on October 25, 2026 at 08:29 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, FC St. Pauli have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Hannover 96 have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

FC St. Pauli
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 23, 2026SV Darmstadt 98(away)0-02. Bundesliga
Oct 17, 2026Hannover 96(away)1-12. Bundesliga
Oct 11, 2026Karlsruher SC(home)2-02. Bundesliga
Oct 3, 2026Borussia Mönchengladbach(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026Energie Cottbus(away)1-12. Bundesliga
Hannover 96
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2026Eintracht Braunschweig(away)0-22. Bundesliga
Oct 17, 2026FC St. Pauli(home)1-12. Bundesliga
Oct 10, 20261. FC Magdeburg(away)0-32. Bundesliga
Oct 3, 2026Verl(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Sep 20, 2026VfL Bochum(home)2-12. Bundesliga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 FC St. Pauli wins, 3 draws, 0 Hannover 96 wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Hannover 96 1-1 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
Apr 21, 2024Hannover 96 1-2 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
Nov 10, 2023FC St. Pauli 0-0 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
Mar 24, 2023FC St. Pauli 2-0 Hannover 96Friendlies Clubs
Feb 5, 2023FC St. Pauli 2-0 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
Jul 23, 2022Hannover 96 2-2 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: Hannover 96 vs FC St. Pauli on Oct 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

FC St. Pauli score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hannover 96 score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
FC St. Pauli1.41.3311/157/15
Hannover 962.31.348/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

FC St. Pauli sit 7th in 2. Bundesliga (12 points from 9 matches) and Hannover 96 sit 16th (8 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7FC St. Pauli926111912
16Hannover 9692258158

A question about FC St. Pauli vs Hannover 96?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for FC St. Pauli vs Hannover 96?
The Footlab AI model makes Hannover 96 the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for FC St. Pauli.
Where and when is FC St. Pauli vs Hannover 96 played?
FC St. Pauli vs Hannover 96 is played on March 6, 2027 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Millerntor-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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