Where and when is Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg played?

Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg: prediction and stats

2. BundesligaRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, Dresden

Dynamo Dresden

1. FC Magdeburg

The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for 1. FC Magdeburg. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg?

A very open match: only 32 Elo points separate Dynamo Dresden (1,998) and 1. FC Magdeburg (1,965).

Dynamo Dresden win51 %

Draw24 %

1. FC Magdeburg win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dynamo Dresden have 10 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats; 1. FC Magdeburg have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Dynamo Dresden
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Westfalia Rhynern(away)	6-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 16, 2026	SV Darmstadt 98(home)	1-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2026	1. FC Nürnberg(away)	0-3	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	Union Berlin(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026	Energie Cottbus(home)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

1. FC Magdeburg
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Bahlinger SC(away)	4-0	DFB Pokal
Aug 15, 2026	VfL Osnabrück(away)	3-0	2. Bundesliga
Aug 8, 2026	Eintracht Braunschweig(home)	1-6	2. Bundesliga
Aug 1, 2026	West Ham(home)	1-1	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Schöningen(away)	4-0	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Dynamo Dresden win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 1. FC Magdeburg win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jan 24, 2026	1. FC Magdeburg 1-2 Dynamo Dresden	2. Bundesliga
Aug 9, 2025	Dynamo Dresden 1-2 1. FC Magdeburg	2. Bundesliga
Jan 6, 2024	Dynamo Dresden 2-2 1. FC Magdeburg	Friendlies Clubs
Feb 6, 2021	1. FC Magdeburg 0-1 Dynamo Dresden	3. Liga
Oct 10, 2020	Dynamo Dresden 1-0 1. FC Magdeburg	3. Liga
Mar 16, 2019	Dynamo Dresden 1-1 1. FC Magdeburg	2. Bundesliga

Last archived meeting: 1. FC Magdeburg vs Dynamo Dresden on Jan 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Dynamo Dresden score 2.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; 1. FC Magdeburg score 2.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Dynamo Dresden	2.8	0.9	8	5/15	10/15
1. FC Magdeburg	2.3	1.2	5	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Dynamo Dresden sit 11th in 2. Bundesliga (3 points from 2 matches) and 1. FC Magdeburg sit 10th (3 points from 2 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	1. FC Magdeburg	2	1	0	1	4	6	3
11	Dynamo Dresden	2	1	0	1	1	3	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg?: The Footlab model makes Dynamo Dresden the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for 1. FC Magdeburg.
Where and when is Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg played?: Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, in the 2. Bundesliga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.