7 de Abril vs Búzios: prediction and stats
Carioca B2Group Stage - 9Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Proletário Guilherme da Silveira Filho, Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
The Footlab model makes Búzios the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for 7 de Abril. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 7 de Abril vs Búzios?
Búzios starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,607 vs 1,465).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 7 de Abril have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Búzios have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | Macaé(away) | 0-2 | Carioca B2 |
| Nov 6, 2025 | Rio de Janeiro(home) | 6-2 | Carioca B2 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Goytacaz(away) | 1-2 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Santa Cruz RJ(home) | 0-1 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Paraty(away) | 1-1 | Carioca B2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | Cardoso Moreira(away) | 1-2 | Carioca C |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Barra Mansa(away) | 2-0 | Carioca C |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Barra Mansa(home) | 3-0 | Carioca C |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Barcelona RJ(away) | 7-0 | Carioca C |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Cardoso Moreira(home) | 0-2 | Carioca C |
How many goals should we expect?
7 de Abril score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Búzios score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 de Abril | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Búzios | 1.9 | 1.7 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 7 de Abril | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 7 de Abril vs Búzios?
- The Footlab model makes Búzios the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for 7 de Abril.
- Where and when is 7 de Abril vs Búzios played?
- 7 de Abril vs Búzios is played on October 18, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Proletário Guilherme da Silveira Filho, in the Carioca B2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.