7 de Abril vs SE Belford Roxo: prediction and stats
Carioca B2Group Stage - 7Kick-off on October 5, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Proletário Guilherme da Silveira Filho, Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro
The Footlab model makes SE Belford Roxo the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for 7 de Abril. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win 7 de Abril vs SE Belford Roxo?
SE Belford Roxo starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,585 vs 1,465).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, 7 de Abril have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; SE Belford Roxo have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | Macaé(away) | 0-2 | Carioca B2 |
| Nov 6, 2025 | Rio de Janeiro(home) | 6-2 | Carioca B2 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Goytacaz(away) | 1-2 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 27, 2025 | Santa Cruz RJ(home) | 0-1 | Carioca B2 |
| Oct 20, 2025 | Paraty(away) | 1-1 | Carioca B2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 23, 2026 | Resende(away) | 1-8 | Copa Rio |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Resende(home) | 1-3 | Copa Rio |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Goytacaz(home) | 1-2 | Carioca B2 |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Goytacaz(away) | 0-0 | Carioca B2 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Serra Macaense(home) | 2-0 | Carioca B2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 7 de Abril win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 SE Belford Roxo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2025 | 7 de Abril 0-3 SE Belford Roxo | Carioca B2 |
Last archived meeting: 7 de Abril vs SE Belford Roxo on Sep 21, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
7 de Abril score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; SE Belford Roxo score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 de Abril | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| SE Belford Roxo | 1.4 | 1.5 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
7 de Abril sit 8th in Carioca B2 (0 points from 1 matches) and SE Belford Roxo sit 1st (3 points from 1 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Belford Roxo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 de Abril | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for 7 de Abril vs SE Belford Roxo?
- The Footlab model makes SE Belford Roxo the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for 7 de Abril.
- Where and when is 7 de Abril vs SE Belford Roxo played?
- 7 de Abril vs SE Belford Roxo is played on October 5, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Proletário Guilherme da Silveira Filho, in the Carioca B2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.