D. La Serena vs Palestino: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 27Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Portada de La Serena, La Serena
The Footlab AI model makes Palestino the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for D. La Serena. The most likely score is 1-1. If Palestino wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,053 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win D. La Serena vs Palestino?
Palestino starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,778 vs 1,678).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for D. La Serena vs Palestino
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
D. La Serena
3-4-3- 10J. Vargas
- 23M. Marín
- 2G. Figueroa
- 14F. Chamorro
- 26F. Dinamarca
- 4F. Mac Allister
- 21B. Gutiérrez
- 34I. Rasso
- 33R. Delgado
- 5L. Alarcón
- 31J. Tapia
Palestino
4-2-3-1- 9R. Fernández
- 27C. Munder
- 18S. Gallegos
- 5D. Glaby
- 17M. Eggel
- 20G. Tapia
- 28D. Zúñiga
- 3E. Roco
- 7B. Carrasco
- 2V. Espinoza
- 25S. Pérez
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 07:06 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, D. La Serena have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Palestino have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Everton de Vina(away) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Universidad de Chile(home) | 0-3 | Primera División |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Nublense(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Union La Calera(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Cobresal(home) | 3-3 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Deportes Limache(away) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Oct 1, 2026 | Alianza Lima(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 12, 2026 | U. Catolica(home) | 2-3 | Primera División |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Universidad de Concepcion(home) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Cobresal(away) | 0-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 D. La Serena wins, 2 draws, 4 Palestino wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Palestino 5-1 D. La Serena | Primera División |
| Nov 29, 2025 | D. La Serena 0-3 Palestino | Primera División |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Palestino 2-1 D. La Serena | Primera División |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Palestino 5-0 D. La Serena | Primera División |
| May 14, 2022 | D. La Serena 0-0 Palestino | Primera División |
| Oct 25, 2021 | Palestino 3-3 D. La Serena | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Palestino vs D. La Serena on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
D. La Serena score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Palestino score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. La Serena | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Palestino | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
D. La Serena sit 11th in Primera División (30 points from 24 matches) and Palestino sit 5th (37 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Palestino | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 35 | 37 |
| 11 | D. La Serena | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 41 | 30 |
A question about D. La Serena vs Palestino?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for D. La Serena vs Palestino?
- The Footlab AI model makes Palestino the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for D. La Serena.
- Where and when is D. La Serena vs Palestino played?
- D. La Serena vs Palestino is played on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Portada de La Serena, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.