Everton de Vina vs Concepción: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónRegular Season - 27Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Sausalito, Viña del Mar
The Footlab AI model makes Everton de Vina the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Concepción. The most likely score is 1-1. If Everton de Vina wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Everton de Vina vs Concepción?
A very open match: only 26 Elo points separate Everton de Vina (1,788) and Concepción (1,762).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Everton de Vina vs Concepción
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Everton de Vina
4-4-1-1- 30C. Palacios
- 21B. Berríos
- 7J. Moya
- 10A. Medina
- 11E. Ramos
- 9J. Alfaro
- 24D. Oyarzún
- 8L. Soto
- 14N. Baeza
- 37V. Vidal
- 1I. González
Concepción
4-1-4-1- 32J. Larrivey
- 20J. Henríquez
- 16M. Sandoval
- 30E. Espinoza
- 23C. Riquelme
- 18Y. Rodríguez
- 21N. Rodríguez
- 4A. Cáceres
- 29D. Varas
- 37F. Grillo
- 25N. Araya
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 07:44 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Everton de Vina have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Concepción have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | D. La Serena(home) | 3-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Universidad de Chile(away) | 1-1 | Copa Chile |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Universidad de Chile(home) | 0-1 | Copa Chile |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Nublense(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Sep 5, 2026 | U. Catolica(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Union La Calera(home) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | O'Higgins(away) | 0-2 | Copa Chile |
| Sep 30, 2026 | O'Higgins(home) | 0-1 | Copa Chile |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Curico Unido(home) | 2-0 | Copa Chile |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Curico Unido(away) | 4-0 | Copa Chile |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Everton de Vina win, 0 draws, 0 Concepción wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | Concepción 0-2 Everton de Vina | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Concepción vs Everton de Vina on May 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Everton de Vina score 1.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Concepción score 1.5 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everton de Vina | 1.9 | 1.4 | 2 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| Concepción | 1.5 | 0.5 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Everton de Vina sit 4th in Primera División (39 points from 24 matches) and Concepción sit 8th (32 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Everton de Vina | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 40 | 27 | 39 |
| 8 | Concepción | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 27 | 32 |
A question about Everton de Vina vs Concepción?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Everton de Vina vs Concepción?
- The Footlab AI model makes Everton de Vina the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Concepción.
- Where and when is Everton de Vina vs Concepción played?
- Everton de Vina vs Concepción is played on November 8, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Sausalito, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.