Aberystwyth Town vs llanelli AFC: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 6Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Park Avenue, Aberystwyth, Ceredigion
The Footlab model makes Aberystwyth Town the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for llanelli AFC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aberystwyth Town vs llanelli AFC?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Aberystwyth Town (1,577) and llanelli AFC (1,557).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aberystwyth Town have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; llanelli AFC have 1, 3 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Llantwit Major(home) | 5-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Treowen Stars(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Afan Lido(away) | 5-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ynyshir Albions(away) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Cwmbran Celtic(away) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 2-4 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Swansea University(away) | 0-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Newport City(home) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Haverfordwest County AFC(away) | 0-6 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 Aberystwyth Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 llanelli AFC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2019 | Aberystwyth Town 3-2 llanelli AFC | Premier League |
| Feb 8, 2019 | llanelli AFC 2-4 Aberystwyth Town | Premier League |
| Oct 26, 2018 | llanelli AFC 1-3 Aberystwyth Town | Premier League |
| Aug 31, 2018 | Aberystwyth Town 3-1 llanelli AFC | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Aberystwyth Town vs llanelli AFC on Apr 5, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Aberystwyth Town score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; llanelli AFC score 0.7 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberystwyth Town | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| llanelli AFC | 0.7 | 2.7 | 1 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aberystwyth Town sit 6th in FAW Championship (6 points from 3 matches) and llanelli AFC sit 15th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aberystwyth Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 |
| 15 | llanelli AFC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aberystwyth Town vs llanelli AFC?
- The Footlab model makes Aberystwyth Town the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 25% for llanelli AFC.
- Where and when is Aberystwyth Town vs llanelli AFC played?
- Aberystwyth Town vs llanelli AFC is played on August 31, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Park Avenue, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 31, 2026Carmarthen TownvsTrethomas Bluebirds
- Aug 31, 2026Pontypridd TownvsLlantwit Major
- Aug 31, 2026Afan LidovsYnyshir Albions
- Aug 31, 2026Caerau (Ely)vsTreowen Stars
- Aug 31, 2026Cardiff DraconiansvsPontardawe Town
- Aug 31, 2026Baglan DragonsvsCaerphilly Athletic
- Aug 31, 2026Newport CityvsSwansea University