Afan Lido vs Ynyshir Albions: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 6Kick-off on August 31, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Princess Margaret Way, Port Talbot / Porth Talbot, Neath Port Talbot
The Footlab model makes Afan Lido the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Ynyshir Albions. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Afan Lido vs Ynyshir Albions?
A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Afan Lido (1,498) and Ynyshir Albions (1,450).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Afan Lido have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Ynyshir Albions have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Pontardawe Town(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Llantwit Major(home) | 5-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 2-5 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 1-4 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Afan Lido win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Ynyshir Albions win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | Afan Lido 0-2 Ynyshir Albions | FAW Championship |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Ynyshir Albions 1-2 Afan Lido | FAW Championship |
| Apr 22, 2023 | Ynyshir Albions 2-1 Afan Lido | FAW Championship |
| Dec 6, 2022 | Afan Lido 1-0 Ynyshir Albions | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Afan Lido vs Ynyshir Albions on Dec 16, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Afan Lido score 1.7 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Ynyshir Albions score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afan Lido | 1.7 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Ynyshir Albions | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Afan Lido sit 8th in FAW Championship (6 points from 4 matches) and Ynyshir Albions sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Afan Lido | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 6 |
| 9 | Ynyshir Albions | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Afan Lido vs Ynyshir Albions?
- The Footlab model makes Afan Lido the favourite at 53%, against 23% for a draw and 24% for Ynyshir Albions.
- Where and when is Afan Lido vs Ynyshir Albions played?
- Afan Lido vs Ynyshir Albions is played on August 31, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Princess Margaret Way, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 31, 2026Aberystwyth Townvsllanelli AFC
- Aug 31, 2026Carmarthen TownvsTrethomas Bluebirds
- Aug 31, 2026Pontypridd TownvsLlantwit Major
- Aug 31, 2026Caerau (Ely)vsTreowen Stars
- Aug 31, 2026Cardiff DraconiansvsPontardawe Town
- Aug 31, 2026Baglan DragonsvsCaerphilly Athletic
- Aug 31, 2026Newport CityvsSwansea University