Academica vs AVS: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio EFAPEL, Coimbra
The Footlab model makes Academica the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for AVS. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Academica vs AVS?
A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate Academica (2,027) and AVS (1,931).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Academica have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; AVS have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Tondela(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Feirense(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chaves(away) | 4-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Caldas(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 31, 2026 | União Santarém(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Chaves(away) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(away) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Sporting CP B(home) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Trofense(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Vianense(home) | 3-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Academica score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; AVS score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Academica | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| AVS | 1.5 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Academica sit 1st in Segunda Liga (9 points from 3 matches) and AVS sit 13th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academica | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
| 13 | AVS | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Academica vs AVS?
- The Footlab model makes Academica the favourite at 49%, against 27% for a draw and 24% for AVS.
- Where and when is Academica vs AVS played?
- Academica vs AVS is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio EFAPEL, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.