Academica vs AVS: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio EFAPEL, Coimbra
The Footlab AI model makes Academica the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for AVS. The most likely score is 1-1. If Academica wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,491 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Academica vs AVS?
A very open match: only 28 Elo points separate Academica (2,023) and AVS (1,995).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Academica vs AVS
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Academica
4-3-3- 19Afonso Rodrigues
- 8K. Zohi
- 10I. Faure
- 20J. Sinisterra
- 25L. Pierre
- 92A. Coundoul
- 5Leandro Silva
- 3Ricardo Teixeira
- 2Xavi
- 22Hélder Lopes
- 12Victor Braga
AVS
4-3-3- 9Rodrigo Pinho
- 30Talles Wander
- 10Keita
- 70Roni
- 78Andrey
- 80Hiago Santos
- 97Matheus Pivô
- 88F. Almeida
- 3L. Rosić
- 12L. Rivas
- 1Dani Rebollo
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Academica have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; AVS have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | União de Leiria(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Real(away) | 4-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Benfica B(home) | 0-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Penafiel(away) | 1-4 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(home) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Penafiel(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sintrense(away) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Farense(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Feirense(home) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Academica score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; AVS score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Academica | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| AVS | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Academica sit 6th in Segunda Liga (12 points from 7 matches) and AVS sit 12th (9 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Academica | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
| 12 | AVS | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
A question about Academica vs AVS?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Academica vs AVS?
- The Footlab AI model makes Academica the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for AVS.
- Where and when is Academica vs AVS played?
- Academica vs AVS is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio EFAPEL, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.