Torreense vs Feirense: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo Manuel Marques, Torres Vedras
The Footlab model makes Torreense the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Feirense. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torreense vs Feirense?
Torreense starts as the favourite with a 123-point Elo edge (2,001 vs 1,879).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torreense have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Feirense have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Lusitânia Lourosa(away) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Penafiel(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Farense(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Porto(away) | 0-1 | Super Cup |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Estoril(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Academica(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Felgueiras 1932(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | União Lamas(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 17, 2026 | União de Leiria(away) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Torreense win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Feirense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Feirense 0-0 Torreense | Segunda Liga |
| Dec 12, 2025 | Torreense 2-3 Feirense | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Feirense 1-1 Torreense | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Torreense 0-1 Feirense | Segunda Liga |
| May 11, 2024 | Torreense 2-1 Feirense | Segunda Liga |
| Jan 7, 2024 | Feirense 3-1 Torreense | Segunda Liga |
Last archived meeting: Feirense vs Torreense on Apr 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Torreense score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Feirense score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torreense | 1.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Feirense | 0.7 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torreense sit 14th in Segunda Liga (2 points from 3 matches) and Feirense sit 15th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Torreense | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
| 15 | Feirense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torreense vs Feirense?
- The Footlab model makes Torreense the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Feirense.
- Where and when is Torreense vs Feirense played?
- Torreense vs Feirense is played on December 20, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Manuel Marques, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.