Academica vs Portimonense: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio EFAPEL, Coimbra
The Footlab AI model makes Academica the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Portimonense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Academica wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,028 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Academica vs Portimonense?
Academica starts as the favourite with a 135-point Elo edge (2,032 vs 1,897).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Academica vs Portimonense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Academica
4-3-3- 8K. Zohi
- 23Rui Gomes
- 19Afonso Rodrigues
- 20J. Sinisterra
- 25L. Pierre
- 92A. Coundoul
- 5Leandro Silva
- 3Ricardo Teixeira
- 2Xavi
- 22Hélder Lopes
- 12Victor Braga
Portimonense
3-4-3- 2Edney
- 93Welinton Júnior
- 7Danio Djassi
- 15Xavier
- 80Felipe Favero
- 9S. Yépié Yépié
- 21Yanis da Rocha
- 6S. Neves
- 17João Reis
- 3Jarleysom Amurim
- 1Dudu
Computed on November 8, 2026 at 05:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Academica have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Portimonense have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Amarante(home) | 1-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Vizela(away) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Leixoes(home) | 4-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Amarante(home) | 3-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | União de Leiria(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | FC Porto B(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Torreense(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Sporting CP B(away) | 0-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Florgrade(away) | 2-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Amarante(away) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Academica wins, 2 draws, 2 Portimonense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2021 | Portimonense 2-1 Academica | Taça da Liga |
| Oct 19, 2019 | Academica 2-1 Portimonense | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 3, 2019 | Portimonense 2-0 Academica | Taça da Liga |
| Feb 4, 2017 | Portimonense 0-0 Academica | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 24, 2016 | Academica 0-0 Portimonense | Segunda Liga |
| Apr 2, 2011 | Academica 1-0 Portimonense | Primeira Liga |
Last archived meeting: Portimonense vs Academica on Jul 23, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Academica score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Portimonense score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Academica | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Portimonense | 0.9 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Academica sit 5th in Segunda Liga (16 points from 10 matches) and Portimonense sit 10th (14 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Academica | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 16 |
| 10 | Portimonense | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 14 |
A question about Academica vs Portimonense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Academica vs Portimonense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Academica the favourite at 54%, against 26% for a draw and 20% for Portimonense.
- Where and when is Academica vs Portimonense played?
- Academica vs Portimonense is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio EFAPEL, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.