Felgueiras 1932 vs Amarante: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Dr. Machado de Matos, Felgueiras
The Footlab AI model makes Felgueiras 1932 the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Amarante. The most likely score is 1-1. If Felgueiras 1932 wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Felgueiras 1932 vs Amarante?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Felgueiras 1932 (1,998) and Amarante (2,048).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Felgueiras 1932 vs Amarante
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Felgueiras 1932
4-4-2- 7Mario Rivas
- 19Lucas da Costa Duarte
- 77Francisco França
- 6Henrique Martins
- 20Rodrigo Santos Ribeiro
- 10Michel Costa
- 3João Pinto
- 15Armando Lopes
- 23Afonso de Freitas
- 70B. Ouacharaf
- 14Mateus Pasinato
Amarante
3-4-3- 5Joao Ricardo
- 88Rúben Alves
- 10M. Costa
- 26A. Zangre
- 8Tokinho
- 78Simão Silva
- 6Rodrigo Guedes
- 2Gonçalo Cunha
- 3Feliciano Mendes
- 28Diogo Costa
- 65Didi
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:53 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Felgueiras 1932 have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Amarante have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Benfica B(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Naval 1893(away) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Penafiel(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Vizela(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Chaves(home) | 2-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Portimonense(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Ponte da Barca(away) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | União de Leiria(home) | 2-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Leixoes(away) | 1-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Benfica B(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Felgueiras 1932 wins, 1 draw, 1 Amarante win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2020 | Felgueiras 1932 3-5 Amarante | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
| Sep 1, 2019 | Amarante 0-0 Felgueiras 1932 | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B |
Last archived meeting: Felgueiras 1932 vs Amarante on Feb 2, 2020
How many goals should we expect?
Felgueiras 1932 score 1.2 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Amarante score 1.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felgueiras 1932 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Amarante | 1.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Felgueiras 1932 sit 14th in Segunda Liga (6 points from 7 matches) and Amarante sit 16th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Felgueiras 1932 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 16 | Amarante | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
A question about Felgueiras 1932 vs Amarante?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Felgueiras 1932 vs Amarante?
- The Footlab AI model makes Felgueiras 1932 the favourite at 42%, against 29% for a draw and 29% for Amarante.
- Where and when is Felgueiras 1932 vs Amarante played?
- Felgueiras 1932 vs Amarante is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Dr. Machado de Matos, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.