Sporting CP B vs União de Leiria: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)CGD Stadium Aurélio Pereira, Alcochete
The Footlab model makes União de Leiria the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Sporting CP B. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting CP B vs União de Leiria?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Sporting CP B (1,879) and União de Leiria (1,944).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting CP B have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; União de Leiria have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Penafiel(away) | 0-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chaves(home) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | AVS(away) | 1-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Alverca(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 16, 2026 | Academico Viseu(away) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leixoes(away) | 4-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Benfica B(home) | 1-2 | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Vizela(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Las Palmas(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | AD Marco 09(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sporting CP B win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 União de Leiria win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2026 | União de Leiria 3-1 Sporting CP B | Segunda Liga |
| Aug 17, 2025 | Sporting CP B 1-0 União de Leiria | Segunda Liga |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Sporting CP B 0-1 União de Leiria | Liga 3 |
| Nov 6, 2022 | União de Leiria 1-0 Sporting CP B | Liga 3 |
| Feb 11, 2022 | União de Leiria 3-1 Sporting CP B | Liga 3 |
| Nov 7, 2021 | Sporting CP B 0-2 União de Leiria | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: União de Leiria vs Sporting CP B on Jan 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting CP B score 0.4 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; União de Leiria score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting CP B | 0.4 | 1.0 | 3 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| União de Leiria | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting CP B sit 6th in Segunda Liga (6 points from 3 matches) and União de Leiria sit 9th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sporting CP B | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | União de Leiria | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting CP B vs União de Leiria?
- The Footlab model makes União de Leiria the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Sporting CP B.
- Where and when is Sporting CP B vs União de Leiria played?
- Sporting CP B vs União de Leiria is played on April 4, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at CGD Stadium Aurélio Pereira, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.