Academica vs Torreense: prediction and stats
Segunda LigaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estádio EFAPEL, Coimbra
The Footlab AI model makes Torreense the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Academica. The most likely score is 1-1. If Torreense wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,849 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Academica vs Torreense?
A very open match: only 14 Elo points separate Academica (2,044) and Torreense (2,030).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Academica vs Torreense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Academica
4-3-3- 19Afonso Rodrigues
- 8K. Zohi
- 10I. Faure
- 20J. Sinisterra
- 25L. Pierre
- 92A. Coundoul
- 5Leandro Silva
- 2Xavi
- 3Ricardo Teixeira
- 54Ni
- 12Victor Braga
Torreense
4-2-3-1- 27M. Abubakari
- 8Alejandro Alfaro
- 6A. Oudrhiri
- 5M. Diadie
- 7D. Jean
- 11Manu Pozo
- 4Volnei Feltes
- 23Javi Vázquez
- 22David Bruno
- 45J. Mutombo
- 31Adriel
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 12:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Academica have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Torreense have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Amarante(home) | 3-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | União de Leiria(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Real(away) | 4-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Benfica B(home) | 0-3 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Penafiel(away) | 1-4 | Segunda Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | Sunderland(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tondela(away) | 0-1 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Lillestrom(away) | 2-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Leixoes(home) | 0-0 | Segunda Liga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Benfica B(away) | 2-0 | Segunda Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Academica wins, 0 draws, 3 Torreense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2026 | Torreense 5-0 Academica | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Academica 0-1 Torreense | Taça de Portugal |
| Jul 24, 2024 | Academica 1-3 Torreense | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Torreense vs Academica on Jul 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Academica score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Torreense score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Academica | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Torreense | 1.2 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Academica sit 6th in Segunda Liga (12 points from 7 matches) and Torreense sit 15th (6 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Academica | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
| 15 | Torreense | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 6 |
A question about Academica vs Torreense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Academica vs Torreense?
- The Footlab AI model makes Torreense the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Academica.
- Where and when is Academica vs Torreense played?
- Academica vs Torreense is played on November 29, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio EFAPEL, in the Segunda Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.