Match

Acambaro vs Real Apodaca: prediction and stats

Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 27Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Valentín González, Ciudad de México

AcambaroReal Apodaca

The Footlab model makes Real Apodaca the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Acambaro. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Acambaro vs Real Apodaca?

Real Apodaca starts as the favourite with a 142-point Elo edge (2,003 vs 1,862).

Acambaro win33 %
Draw26 %
Real Apodaca win41 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Acambaro have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Real Apodaca have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Acambaro
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Mar 30, 2026Gorilas de Juanacatlan(away)0-4Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 26, 2026Gorilas de Juanacatlan(home)0-0Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 15, 2026Gorilas de Juanacatlan(home)1-0Liga Premier Serie B
Mar 7, 2026Huracanes Izcalli(away)8-3Liga Premier Serie B
Feb 22, 2026Dragones de Oaxaca(away)2-1Liga Premier Serie B
Real Apodaca
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 3, 2026Deportiva Venados(home)2-4Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 30, 2026Deportiva Venados(away)1-1Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 26, 2026Inter Playa del Carmen(home)3-1Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 23, 2026Inter Playa del Carmen(away)0-0Liga Premier Serie A
Apr 11, 2026Correcaminos UAT II(away)0-1Liga Premier Serie A

How many goals should we expect?

Acambaro score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Real Apodaca score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Acambaro1.52.029/159/15
Real Apodaca1.51.076/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Real Apodaca262123471966

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Acambaro vs Real Apodaca?
The Footlab model makes Real Apodaca the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Acambaro.
Where and when is Acambaro vs Real Apodaca played?
Acambaro vs Real Apodaca is played on April 4, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Valentín González, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Acambaro and Real Apodaca

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