Acambaro vs Real Apodaca: prediction and stats
Liga Premier Serie AApertura - 27Kick-off on April 4, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Valentín González, Ciudad de México
The Footlab AI model makes Acambaro the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Real Apodaca. The most likely score is 1-1. If Acambaro wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,541 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Acambaro vs Real Apodaca?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Acambaro (1,861) and Real Apodaca (1,902).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Acambaro vs Real Apodaca
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Acambaro
Not enough data to predict the Acambaro lineup.
Real Apodaca
Not enough data to predict the Real Apodaca lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 10:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Acambaro have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Real Apodaca have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ciervos(home) | 5-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Calor de San Pedro(away) | 2-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Artesanos Metepec(home) | 2-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Guerreros del Pacifico(away) | 1-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Dragones de Oaxaca(home) | 1-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Correcaminos UAT II(home) | 0-1 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Vaqueros Reynosa(home) | 1-2 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | La Tribu de Cd. Juarez(away) | 1-3 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Guerreros(home) | 2-0 | Liga Premier Serie A |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Acatlan(away) | 1-4 | Liga Premier Serie A |
How many goals should we expect?
Acambaro score 2.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Real Apodaca score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acambaro | 2.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Real Apodaca | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Acambaro sit 4th in Liga Premier Serie A (13 points from 7 matches) and Real Apodaca sit 9th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Acambaro | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 13 |
| 9 | Real Apodaca | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 4 |
A question about Acambaro vs Real Apodaca?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Acambaro vs Real Apodaca?
- The Footlab AI model makes Acambaro the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Real Apodaca.
- Where and when is Acambaro vs Real Apodaca played?
- Acambaro vs Real Apodaca is played on April 4, 2027 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Valentín González, in the Liga Premier Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 3, 2027Guerreros del PacificovsAcatlan
- Apr 3, 2027Cañoneros MarinavsCorrecaminos UAT II
- Apr 3, 2027CiervosvsVaqueros Reynosa
- Apr 3, 2027Real RefinerosvsLa Tribu de Cd. Juarez
- Apr 3, 2027Artesanos MetepecvsMineros de Fresnillo
- Apr 3, 2027Dragones de OaxacavsFC Santiago
- Apr 3, 2027Calor de San PedrovsGuerreros
- Apr 3, 2027Halcones NegrosvsAtlético Saltillo