Acassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 32Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio La Quema, San Isidro, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Ciudad de Bolívar the favourite at 36%, against 33% for a draw and 31% for Acassuso. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Acassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar?
Ciudad de Bolívar starts as the favourite with a 125-point Elo edge (1,769 vs 1,645).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Acassuso have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Ciudad de Bolívar have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Godoy Cruz(home) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Midland(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportivo Moron(away) | 1-4 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Colon Santa Fe(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Racing Cordoba(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Agropecuario(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Almirante Brown(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Atletico Mitre(home) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 25, 2026 | CA Estudiantes(away) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Acassuso win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ciudad de Bolívar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Ciudad de Bolívar 1-0 Acassuso | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Ciudad de Bolívar vs Acassuso on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Acassuso score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ciudad de Bolívar score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acassuso | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Ciudad de Bolívar | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Acassuso sit 18th in Primera Nacional (22 points from 25 matches) and Ciudad de Bolívar sit 8th (34 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ciudad de Bolívar | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 22 | 34 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Acassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar?
- The Footlab model makes Ciudad de Bolívar the favourite at 36%, against 33% for a draw and 31% for Acassuso.
- Where and when is Acassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar played?
- Acassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio La Quema, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.