Where and when is Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo played?

Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Eva Perón, in the Primera Nacional.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Eva Perón, Bolívar, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Ciudad de Bolívar

San Telmo

The Footlab model makes Ciudad de Bolívar the favourite at 57%, against 27% for a draw and 16% for San Telmo. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo?

A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Ciudad de Bolívar (1,766) and San Telmo (1,672).

Ciudad de Bolívar win57 %

Draw27 %

San Telmo win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ciudad de Bolívar have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; San Telmo have 2, 6 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ciudad de Bolívar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Racing Cordoba(home)	1-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026	Agropecuario(away)	0-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 8, 2026	Almirante Brown(away)	0-2	Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026	Atletico Mitre(home)	0-2	Primera Nacional
Jul 25, 2026	CA Estudiantes(away)	2-1	Primera Nacional

San Telmo
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Deportivo Moron(home)	2-2	Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026	Quilmes(away)	0-3	Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026	Colon Santa Fe(away)	0-1	Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026	San Miguel(home)	1-0	Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026	Racing Cordoba(away)	1-2	Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Ciudad de Bolívar win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 San Telmo win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 23, 2026	San Telmo 0-1 Ciudad de Bolívar	Primera Nacional

Last archived meeting: San Telmo vs Ciudad de Bolívar on May 23, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ciudad de Bolívar score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; San Telmo score 0.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Ciudad de Bolívar	0.9	1.1	5	7/15	5/15
San Telmo	0.6	1.1	6	5/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ciudad de Bolívar sit 8th in Primera Nacional (35 points from 26 matches) and San Telmo sit 17th (24 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
8	Ciudad de Bolívar	26	8	11	7	22	23	35
17	San Telmo	25	5	9	11	20	29	24

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo?: The Footlab model makes Ciudad de Bolívar the favourite at 57%, against 27% for a draw and 16% for San Telmo.
Where and when is Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo played?: Ciudad de Bolívar vs San Telmo is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Eva Perón, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.