Match

San Martin S.J. vs Almagro: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 32Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ingeniero Hilario Sánchez, San Juan, Provincia de San Juan

San Martin S.J.Almagro

The Footlab model makes San Martin S.J. the favourite at 54%, against 28% for a draw and 18% for Almagro. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win San Martin S.J. vs Almagro?

A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate San Martin S.J. (1,789) and Almagro (1,705).

San Martin S.J. win54 %
Draw28 %
Almagro win18 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Martin S.J. have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Almagro have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

San Martin S.J.
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Gimnasia Y Tiro(home)3-1Primera Nacional
Aug 16, 2026Racing Cordoba(away)0-0Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026San Martin Tucuman(away)1-1Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026Atletico DE Rafaela(home)1-1Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026Agropecuario(away)1-2Primera Nacional
Almagro
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Colegiales(home)0-0Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026Deportivo Moron(away)0-2Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026Quilmes(away)1-1Primera Nacional
Aug 5, 2026Gimnasia Y Tiro(home)0-2Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026Midland(home)1-1Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 San Martin S.J. win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Almagro win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Almagro 1-2 San Martin S.J.Primera Nacional
Sep 20, 2023Almagro 0-3 San Martin S.J.Primera Nacional
Apr 30, 2023San Martin S.J. 3-0 AlmagroPrimera Nacional
May 14, 2022Almagro 1-0 San Martin S.J.Primera Nacional
Sep 17, 2021San Martin S.J. 1-1 AlmagroPrimera Nacional
May 9, 2021Almagro 0-1 San Martin S.J.Primera Nacional

Last archived meeting: Almagro vs San Martin S.J. on May 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

San Martin S.J. score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Almagro score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
San Martin S.J.1.11.049/156/15
Almagro1.01.056/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

San Martin S.J. sit 11th in Primera Nacional (32 points from 24 matches) and Almagro sit 13th (31 points from 26 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
11San Martin S.J.24888262432
13Almagro268711212931

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for San Martin S.J. vs Almagro?
The Footlab model makes San Martin S.J. the favourite at 54%, against 28% for a draw and 18% for Almagro.
Where and when is San Martin S.J. vs Almagro played?
San Martin S.J. vs Almagro is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ingeniero Hilario Sánchez, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: San Martin S.J. and Almagro

Ready to know everything about football?