San Martin S.J. vs Almagro: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 32Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Ingeniero Hilario Sánchez, San Juan, Provincia de San Juan
The Footlab model makes San Martin S.J. the favourite at 54%, against 28% for a draw and 18% for Almagro. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Martin S.J. vs Almagro?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate San Martin S.J. (1,789) and Almagro (1,705).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Martin S.J. have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Almagro have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gimnasia Y Tiro(home) | 3-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Racing Cordoba(away) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | San Martin Tucuman(away) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Atletico DE Rafaela(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Agropecuario(away) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Colegiales(home) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Deportivo Moron(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Quilmes(away) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Gimnasia Y Tiro(home) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Midland(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 San Martin S.J. win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Almagro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Almagro 1-2 San Martin S.J. | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 20, 2023 | Almagro 0-3 San Martin S.J. | Primera Nacional |
| Apr 30, 2023 | San Martin S.J. 3-0 Almagro | Primera Nacional |
| May 14, 2022 | Almagro 1-0 San Martin S.J. | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 17, 2021 | San Martin S.J. 1-1 Almagro | Primera Nacional |
| May 9, 2021 | Almagro 0-1 San Martin S.J. | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Almagro vs San Martin S.J. on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
San Martin S.J. score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Almagro score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Martin S.J. | 1.1 | 1.0 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Almagro | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Martin S.J. sit 11th in Primera Nacional (32 points from 24 matches) and Almagro sit 13th (31 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | San Martin S.J. | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26 | 24 | 32 |
| 13 | Almagro | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 29 | 31 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Martin S.J. vs Almagro?
- The Footlab model makes San Martin S.J. the favourite at 54%, against 28% for a draw and 18% for Almagro.
- Where and when is San Martin S.J. vs Almagro played?
- San Martin S.J. vs Almagro is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Ingeniero Hilario Sánchez, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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