Match

Defensores De Belgrano vs Acassuso: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Juan Pasquale, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires

Defensores De BelgranoAcassuso

The Footlab model makes Defensores De Belgrano the favourite at 45%, against 32% for a draw and 23% for Acassuso. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Defensores De Belgrano vs Acassuso?

A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Defensores De Belgrano (1,708) and Acassuso (1,645).

Defensores De Belgrano win45 %
Draw32 %
Acassuso win23 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Defensores De Belgrano have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Acassuso have 2, 6 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Defensores De Belgrano
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Almirante Brown(home)0-2Primera Nacional
Aug 14, 2026Atletico DE Rafaela(away)0-0Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026Atletico Mitre(away)1-2Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026CA Estudiantes(home)1-1Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026All Boys(away)0-0Primera Nacional
Acassuso
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Godoy Cruz(home)0-1Primera Nacional
Aug 14, 2026Midland(home)1-1Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026Deportivo Moron(away)1-4Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026Colon Santa Fe(home)1-1Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026San Miguel(away)0-0Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Defensores De Belgrano win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Acassuso win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 24, 2026Acassuso 1-0 Defensores De BelgranoPrimera Nacional
Feb 8, 2018Acassuso 0-0 Defensores De BelgranoPrimera B Metropolitana
Sep 13, 2017Defensores De Belgrano 2-1 AcassusoPrimera B Metropolitana
Jun 4, 2017Acassuso 0-0 Defensores De BelgranoPrimera B Metropolitana
Nov 19, 2016Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 AcassusoPrimera B Metropolitana
Jul 8, 2015Defensores De Belgrano 0-0 AcassusoPrimera B Metropolitana

Last archived meeting: Acassuso vs Defensores De Belgrano on May 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Defensores De Belgrano score 0.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Acassuso score 0.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Defensores De Belgrano0.51.055/154/15
Acassuso0.71.347/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Defensores De Belgrano sit 15th in Primera Nacional (26 points from 25 matches) and Acassuso sit 18th (22 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Defensores De Belgrano255119162326
18Acassuso255713183022

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Defensores De Belgrano vs Acassuso?
The Footlab model makes Defensores De Belgrano the favourite at 45%, against 32% for a draw and 23% for Acassuso.
Where and when is Defensores De Belgrano vs Acassuso played?
Defensores De Belgrano vs Acassuso is played on October 3, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Juan Pasquale, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Defensores De Belgrano and Acassuso

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