Atletico DE Rafaela vs Atlanta: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 32Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Nuevo Monumental, Rafaela, Provincia de Santa Fe
The Footlab model makes Atletico DE Rafaela the favourite at 46%, against 31% for a draw and 23% for Atlanta. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico DE Rafaela vs Atlanta?
A very open match: only 13 Elo points separate Atletico DE Rafaela (1,766) and Atlanta (1,779).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico DE Rafaela have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Atlanta have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Club Atlético Güemes(away) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Defensores De Belgrano(home) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chacarita Juniors(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | San Martin S.J.(away) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nueva Chicago(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Nueva Chicago(away) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ferro Carril Oeste(away) | 1-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Temperley(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Deportivo Maipu(away) | 2-4 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Almagro(home) | 1-3 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Atletico DE Rafaela win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Atlanta win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Atlanta 2-0 Atletico DE Rafaela | Primera Nacional |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Atletico DE Rafaela 2-0 Atlanta | Primera Nacional |
| May 19, 2024 | Atlanta 2-0 Atletico DE Rafaela | Primera Nacional |
| Jun 25, 2023 | Atletico DE Rafaela 1-0 Atlanta | Primera Nacional |
| Feb 21, 2023 | Atlanta 0-0 Atletico DE Rafaela | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 22, 2022 | Atlanta 0-0 Atletico DE Rafaela | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Atlanta vs Atletico DE Rafaela on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico DE Rafaela score 0.5 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Atlanta score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico DE Rafaela | 0.5 | 0.7 | 9 | 2/15 | 1/15 |
| Atlanta | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico DE Rafaela sit 8th in Primera Nacional (36 points from 26 matches) and Atlanta sit 4th (42 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Atlanta | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 31 | 25 | 42 |
| 8 | Atletico DE Rafaela | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 19 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico DE Rafaela vs Atlanta?
- The Footlab model makes Atletico DE Rafaela the favourite at 46%, against 31% for a draw and 23% for Atlanta.
- Where and when is Atletico DE Rafaela vs Atlanta played?
- Atletico DE Rafaela vs Atlanta is played on September 26, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Nuevo Monumental, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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