Accrington ST vs Shrewsbury: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Wham Stadium, Accrington, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Accrington ST the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Shrewsbury. The most likely score is 1-1. If Accrington ST wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,337 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Shrewsbury?
A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Accrington ST (1,678) and Shrewsbury (1,621).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Accrington ST vs Shrewsbury
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Accrington ST
3-4-1-2- 23T. Walton
- 30C. Warren
- 2D. Love
- 14Stefan Mols
- 16Aidan Borland
- 33D. Tutonda
- 10Alex Henderson
- 17D. Matthews
- 5F. Rawson
- 28S. Conneely
- 1L. Moulden
Shrewsbury
3-4-1-2- 9G. Lloyd
- 13J. Davison
- 10T. Sang
- 11K. Berkoe
- 18K. M. Brown
- 2L. Hoole
- 7J. Turner-Cooke
- 6S. Stubbs
- 5W. Boyle
- 3J. Ruffels
- 1William Michael Brook
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 08:03 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Accrington ST have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Shrewsbury have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Wycombe(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Northampton(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 5-0 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | York(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Eastleigh(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Everton U21(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 3-3 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Crawley Town(away) | 3-2 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Accrington ST wins, 2 draws, 1 Shrewsbury win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2026 | Accrington ST 0-2 Shrewsbury | League Two |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Shrewsbury 0-0 Accrington ST | League Two |
| Feb 18, 2023 | Accrington ST 1-0 Shrewsbury | League One |
| Aug 6, 2022 | Shrewsbury 0-1 Accrington ST | League One |
| Dec 29, 2021 | Shrewsbury 0-0 Accrington ST | League One |
| Sep 4, 2021 | Accrington ST 1-0 Shrewsbury | League One |
Last archived meeting: Accrington ST vs Shrewsbury on Feb 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Accrington ST score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Shrewsbury score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accrington ST | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Shrewsbury | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Accrington ST sit 9th in League Two (19 points from 14 matches) and Shrewsbury sit 15th (18 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 19 |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 18 |
A question about Accrington ST vs Shrewsbury?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Accrington ST vs Shrewsbury?
- The Footlab AI model makes Accrington ST the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Shrewsbury.
- Where and when is Accrington ST vs Shrewsbury played?
- Accrington ST vs Shrewsbury is played on January 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Wham Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.