Northampton vs Bristol Rovers: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sixfields Stadium, Northampton, East Midlands
The Footlab AI model makes Northampton the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Bristol Rovers. The most likely score is 1-1. If Northampton wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Northampton vs Bristol Rovers?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Northampton (1,711) and Bristol Rovers (1,763).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Northampton vs Bristol Rovers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Northampton
4-4-2- 19O. Dale
- 9Matthew Warhurst
- 16J. Wormleighton
- 4J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh
- 8L. Evans
- 24C. Lemonheigh-Evans
- 6E. Moore
- 5J. Guthrie
- 22Joshua Alan Powell
- 44J. Donacien
- 1Z. Jeacock
Bristol Rovers
4-2-3-1- 29F. Cavegn
- 6C. Mola
- 7S. Forde
- 21R. Smallwood
- 22Keenan Gough
- 10B. Kamwa
- 2T. James
- 4K. Balmer
- 17C. Kelly
- 14B. Purrington
- 1Brad Young
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 06:07 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Northampton have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Bristol Rovers have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Grimsby(away) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | York(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Crewe(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Northampton wins, 0 draws, 4 Bristol Rovers wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | Northampton 2-1 Bristol Rovers | League One |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Bristol Rovers 1-0 Northampton | League One |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Northampton 3-1 Bristol Rovers | League One |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Bristol Rovers 2-1 Northampton | League One |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Northampton 0-1 Bristol Rovers | League Two |
| Nov 13, 2021 | Bristol Rovers 2-1 Northampton | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Northampton vs Bristol Rovers on Feb 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Northampton score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bristol Rovers score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northampton | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Bristol Rovers | 1.3 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Northampton sit 22nd in League Two (10 points from 9 matches) and Bristol Rovers sit 9th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bristol Rovers | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 18 | 15 |
| 22 | Northampton | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 10 |
A question about Northampton vs Bristol Rovers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Northampton vs Bristol Rovers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Northampton the favourite at 41%, against 28% for a draw and 31% for Bristol Rovers.
- Where and when is Northampton vs Bristol Rovers played?
- Northampton vs Bristol Rovers is played on January 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sixfields Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.