Swindon Town vs Crawley Town: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The County Ground, Swindon, Wiltshire
The Footlab AI model makes Swindon Town the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Crawley Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Swindon Town wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,598 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Swindon Town vs Crawley Town?
Swindon Town starts as the favourite with a 110-point Elo edge (1,732 vs 1,622).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Swindon Town vs Crawley Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Swindon Town
3-4-2-1- 23A. Drinan
- 25J. Thomson
- 2M. Clark
- 24M. Virtue-Thick
- 19J. Snowdon
- 26D. Butler
- 7T. Nichols
- 6J. Ball
- 5S. Negru
- 34B. Kirkman
- 1C. Ripley
Crawley Town
4-1-4-1- 9D. Orsi
- 20J. Arthurs
- 10S. Duke-McKenna
- 30Kai Jennings
- 16J. Russell
- 22A. Adeyemo
- 6P. Farquharson
- 12L. Richards
- 2K. Gordon
- 5C. Barker
- 1V. Mannone
Computed on November 6, 2026 at 02:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Swindon Town have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Crawley Town have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Barnet(away) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Walsall(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Tranmere(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Shrewsbury(home) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Salford City(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Swindon Town wins, 1 draw, 2 Crawley Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Crawley Town 2-2 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Swindon Town 1-0 Crawley Town | League Two |
| Aug 13, 2024 | Crawley Town 4-2 Swindon Town | League Cup |
| Jan 1, 2024 | Crawley Town 3-1 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Swindon Town 6-0 Crawley Town | League Two |
| May 8, 2023 | Swindon Town 2-1 Crawley Town | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Crawley Town vs Swindon Town on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Swindon Town score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Crawley Town score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swindon Town | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Crawley Town | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Swindon Town sit 13th in League Two (19 points from 14 matches) and Crawley Town sit 24th (9 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 19 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 9 |
A question about Swindon Town vs Crawley Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Swindon Town vs Crawley Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Swindon Town the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Crawley Town.
- Where and when is Swindon Town vs Crawley Town played?
- Swindon Town vs Crawley Town is played on January 1, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The County Ground, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.