AD Ceuta FC vs Eldense: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 36Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, Ceuta
The Footlab AI model makes AD Ceuta FC the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Eldense. The most likely score is 1-1. If AD Ceuta FC wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win AD Ceuta FC vs Eldense?
A very open match: only 42 Elo points separate AD Ceuta FC (1,912) and Eldense (1,954).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for AD Ceuta FC vs Eldense
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
AD Ceuta FC
4-3-3- 7Alejandro Camacho Ramírez
- 9Jordi Escobar
- 19E. Sevikyan
- 8Kuki
- 15Joaquín
- 23A. Tuhami
- 6Carlos Hernández
- 3José Matos
- 4Albert Caparrós
- 34D. Mas
- 13Guille Vallejo
Eldense
4-2-3-1- 11Manu Nieto
- 10Fidel
- 15Carlos Guirao
- 14J. Smith
- 33Aingeru Olabarrieta
- 12Roberto López
- 4F. Smand
- 5Alex Serradell
- 19A. Ibarrondo
- 3Juan Larios
- 1Ramón Vila
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:15 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, AD Ceuta FC have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Eldense have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Castellón(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Real Sociedad II(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
AD Ceuta FC score 1.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Eldense score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AD Ceuta FC | 1.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Eldense | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
AD Ceuta FC sit 21st in Segunda División (5 points from 9 matches) and Eldense sit 14th (11 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Eldense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| 21 | AD Ceuta FC | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 5 |
A question about AD Ceuta FC vs Eldense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for AD Ceuta FC vs Eldense?
- The Footlab AI model makes AD Ceuta FC the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Eldense.
- Where and when is AD Ceuta FC vs Eldense played?
- AD Ceuta FC vs Eldense is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.