Sporting Gijon vs Oviedo: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 36Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal El Molinón, Gijón
The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Gijon the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Oviedo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sporting Gijon wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting Gijon vs Oviedo?
A very open match: only 1 Elo point separates Sporting Gijon (1,975) and Oviedo (1,975).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sporting Gijon vs Oviedo
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sporting Gijon
4-2-3-1- 16A. Sarco
- 14Álex Corredera
- 8M. Rodriguez
- 10César Gelabert
- 7Gaspar Campos
- 27Enol Prendes
- 2Guille Rosas
- 44Andrés Cuenca
- 24Aimar Duñabeitia
- 23Jorge Sáenz
- 1Rubén Yáñez
Oviedo
4-3-2-1- 18V. Mingo
- 5Y. Didi
- 10Alberto Reina
- 8Mikel Goti
- 6Dani Villahermosa
- 20Pablo Sáenz
- 12Dani Calvo
- 23Carlos Domínguez
- 15S. Rodriguez
- 21David Jiménez
- 13Aarón Escandell
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Gijon have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Oviedo have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Cadiz(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 3-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Oviedo(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FC Andorra(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Eldense(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Eldense(away) | 1-4 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Sabadell(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Valladolid(away) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sporting Gijon wins, 3 draws, 1 Oviedo win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Oviedo 2-0 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Oviedo 1-1 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Sporting Gijon 3-1 Oviedo | Segunda División |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Sporting Gijon 1-0 Oviedo | Segunda División |
| Sep 9, 2023 | Oviedo 0-0 Sporting Gijon | Segunda División |
| May 13, 2023 | Sporting Gijon 1-1 Oviedo | Segunda División |
Last archived meeting: Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon on Sep 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting Gijon score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Oviedo score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Gijon | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Oviedo | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting Gijon sit 6th in Segunda División (16 points from 9 matches) and Oviedo sit 9th (14 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sporting Gijon | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Oviedo | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 14 |
A question about Sporting Gijon vs Oviedo?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting Gijon vs Oviedo?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sporting Gijon the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Oviedo.
- Where and when is Sporting Gijon vs Oviedo played?
- Sporting Gijon vs Oviedo is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal El Molinón, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.