Eldense vs Almeria: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 37Kick-off on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat, Elda
The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Eldense. The most likely score is 1-1. If Almeria wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,401 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eldense vs Almeria?
Almeria starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (2,054 vs 1,929).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Eldense vs Almeria
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Eldense
4-2-3-1- 11Manu Nieto
- 10Fidel
- 15Carlos Guirao
- 14J. Smith
- 33Aingeru Olabarrieta
- 12Roberto López
- 4F. Smand
- 5Alex Serradell
- 19A. Ibarrondo
- 3Juan Larios
- 1Ramón Vila
Almeria
4-2-3-1- 9Thalys
- 14Javi Muñoz
- 17B. Cipenga
- 11Sergio Arribas
- 33Quim Junyent
- 29S. Džodić
- 18F. Bonini
- 21Chumi
- 3Álex Muñoz
- 22D. Chirino
- 1Andrés Fernández
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eldense have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Almeria have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cordoba(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Oviedo(home) | 4-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Burgos(away) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Eibar(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 3-0 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Burgos(home) | 2-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Celta de Vigo II(home) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cordoba(away) | 2-0 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Eldense wins, 0 draws, 2 Almeria wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Almeria 3-0 Eldense | Segunda División |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Eldense 2-1 Almeria | Copa del Rey |
| May 4, 2025 | Almeria 5-0 Eldense | Segunda División |
| Sep 8, 2024 | Eldense 1-0 Almeria | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Eldense score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Almeria score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eldense | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Almeria | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eldense sit 14th in Segunda División (11 points from 9 matches) and Almeria sit 1st (21 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almeria | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
| 14 | Eldense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
A question about Eldense vs Almeria?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eldense vs Almeria?
- The Footlab AI model makes Almeria the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Eldense.
- Where and when is Eldense vs Almeria played?
- Eldense vs Almeria is played on May 2, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Nuevo Pepico Amat, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.