Las Palmas vs Cadiz: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 36Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria
The Footlab AI model makes Las Palmas the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Cadiz. The most likely score is 1-1. If Las Palmas wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,793 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Las Palmas vs Cadiz?
Las Palmas starts as the favourite with a 117-point Elo edge (1,973 vs 1,855).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Las Palmas vs Cadiz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Las Palmas
5-4-1- 7Jefté Betancor
- 11T. Miyashiro
- 20Kirian Rodríguez
- 24Iván Jaime
- 6Iñaki González Zambrano
- 25Valentín Pezzolesi
- 4Álex Suárez
- 15Juan Herzog
- 23A. Rodriguez
- 21G. Bonfanti
- 13José Caro
Cadiz
4-2-3-1- 21V. Kopotun
- 24Ibon Sánchez
- 16Antonio Cordero
- 28D. A. Zarate Hidalgo
- 5M. Doué
- 17A. Moueffek
- 4Javi Castro
- 6Manu Fernández
- 3Sergio Arribas
- 27J. Diaz Peregrina
- 1David Gil
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 12:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Palmas have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Cadiz have 2, 5 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Castellón(home) | 0-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mallorca(away) | 1-3 | Segunda División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Valladolid(home) | 2-2 | Segunda División |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Eibar(away) | 2-3 | Segunda División |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Burgos(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Granada CF(away) | 0-2 | Segunda División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sporting Gijon(home) | 0-1 | Segunda División |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 4-0 | Segunda División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Girona(home) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Las Palmas wins, 1 draw, 1 Cadiz win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cadiz 0-1 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cadiz 1-3 Las Palmas | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Cadiz 1-2 Las Palmas | Segunda División |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Las Palmas 1-0 Cadiz | Segunda División |
| Jul 24, 2025 | Cadiz 2-1 Las Palmas | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 19, 2024 | Cadiz 0-0 Las Palmas | La Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Las Palmas score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cadiz score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Cadiz | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Las Palmas sit 16th in Segunda División (11 points from 10 matches) and Cadiz sit 20th (7 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Las Palmas | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 11 |
| 20 | Cadiz | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 7 |
A question about Las Palmas vs Cadiz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Las Palmas vs Cadiz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Las Palmas the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Cadiz.
- Where and when is Las Palmas vs Cadiz played?
- Las Palmas vs Cadiz is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Gran Canaria, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.