Girona vs Tenerife: prediction and stats
Segunda DivisiónRegular Season - 36Kick-off on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, Girona
The Footlab model makes Girona the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Tenerife. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Girona vs Tenerife?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Girona (2,005) and Tenerife (2,042).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Girona have 1 wins, 7 draws and 7 defeats; Tenerife have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cordoba(away) | 1-2 | Segunda División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Leganes(home) | 1-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gimnastic(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Sabadell(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Almeria(home) | 1-0 | Segunda División |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Eibar(away) | 3-1 | Segunda División |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Leganes(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Tamaraceite(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cadiz(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Girona win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Tenerife win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 19, 2022 | Tenerife 1-3 Girona | Segunda División |
| Jun 11, 2022 | Girona 0-0 Tenerife | Segunda División |
| May 9, 2022 | Girona 0-1 Tenerife | Segunda División |
| Nov 8, 2021 | Tenerife 2-1 Girona | Segunda División |
| May 1, 2021 | Girona 1-0 Tenerife | Segunda División |
| Dec 21, 2020 | Tenerife 2-0 Girona | Segunda División |
How many goals should we expect?
Girona score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tenerife score 2.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona | 1.2 | 1.7 | 0 | 12/15 | 7/15 |
| Tenerife | 2.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Girona sit 17th in Segunda División (1 points from 2 matches) and Tenerife sit 2nd (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tenerife | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 |
| 17 | Girona | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Girona vs Tenerife?
- The Footlab model makes Girona the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Tenerife.
- Where and when is Girona vs Tenerife played?
- Girona vs Tenerife is played on April 25, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadi Municipal de Montilivi, in the Segunda División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.